Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb2baaac563cd25abec1e993e0d0e8bf3c91e7c68adf79f38d3c978e66f64211
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Yes | 66c | 31,525$20,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,720.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 12,844$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900.02 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 43c | 11,725$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.38 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked No | 73c | 4,972$3,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 72c | 3,600$2,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 3,430$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.09 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…0fa1backed Yes | 30c | 3,184$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec09backed No | 74c | 3,184$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 2,644$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.93 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 26c | 2,534$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.35 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,364$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.65 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,672$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.69 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 27c | 1,600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 27c | 1,062$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.51 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 72c | 1,061$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.1 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked No | 46c | 1,052$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Yes | 28c | 954.2$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.03 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 41c | 947.39$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.89 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked No | 73c | 915.66$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.43 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 37c | 883.55$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.78 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed No | 73c | 813.24$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.27 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 29c | 792.33$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…0afabacked Yes | 65c | 691.6$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 73c | 683.03$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.92 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 570.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.59 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 46c | 549.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 27c | 544.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.13 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…06edbacked Yes | 54c | 540.22$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 55c | 488.95$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 27c | 467.69$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.33 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 462.26$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 455.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.32 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…c150backed Yes | 64c | 448.31$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 28c | 426.39$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.45 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 425$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.22 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 28c | 410.02$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.32 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 28c | 409.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.33 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked No | 73c | 404.3$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked No | 49c | 397.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 52c | 382.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 76c | 370.85$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Yes | 77c | 362.38$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Yes | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 27c | 349.16$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.81 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…d634backed Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 28c | 338.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 67c | 294.06$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 72c | 291.83$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 65cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 30c | 287.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 73c | 269.53$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.76 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Yes | 67c | 263.15$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed No | 6c | 249.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 79c | 249.23$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 48c | 247.06$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 30c | 243.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.14 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 26c | 242.58$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cb…126cbacked No | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…a037backed No | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…b6d7backed Yes | 28c | 204.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b2…2c4abacked No | 73c | 202.15$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked No | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked No | 48c | 199.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 73c | 188.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.96 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 28c | 183.33$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +147.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec18…89ebbacked No | 76c | 176.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes | 53c | 174.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed No | 28c | 174.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.02 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935f…94b8backed No | 8c | 157.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f1…1054backed Yes | 65c | 150.62$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdce…f9e2backed No | 73c | 148.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 32c | 148.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Yes | 28c | 146.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb4…71c3backed Yes | 69c | 142.45$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…b336backed Yes | 65c | 138.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 41c | 137.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.87 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…fdccbacked Yes | 28c | 136.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 136.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088a…9ee7backed Yes | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 26c | 126.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 74c | 124.03$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 75cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 27c | 118.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 74c | 112.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed No | 47c | 110.73$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 73c | 109.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 104.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 45c | 99.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 30c | 98.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…6b6ebacked No | 48c | 98.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…e378backed Yes | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 96.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.33 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.