Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d072b6cc2c3073b1c69c8e03e74f2d2569532cd10fc6fcd46a63118e8d7e8c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 8,288$6,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.05 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 5,879$4,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.45 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203d…2b2cbacked Yes | 18c | 5,278$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…a34bbacked No | 75c | 4,980$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 4,847$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.66 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Yes | 23c | 2,052$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 25c | 1,815$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.63 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a3…e4b7backed Yes | 25c | 1,652$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 1,228$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.31 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 74c | 1,180$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…7776backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 27c | 881.83$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.09 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 74c | 814.03$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.65 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 27c | 708.3$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 15c | 638.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…7cf5backed Yes | 25c | 573$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Yes | 25c | 565.97$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 76c | 505.06$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.08 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 4c | 477.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 467.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 435.75$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.54 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…edcabacked Yes | 26c | 393.27$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…7e16backed Yes | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 25c | 380.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 75c | 376$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 75c | 371.84$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 24c | 341.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fb…28dabacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 15c | 316.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 23c | 256$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 76c | 246.57$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…0fa4backed Yes | 25c | 230.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 26c | 217.78$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a1…5826backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 15cpaid | +311.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 196.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 20c | 178.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 25c | 175.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd3…7c5dbacked Yes | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce6…e378backed Yes | 17c | 153.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf88…15c2backed Yes | 27c | 141.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 136.64$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…4fa5backed Yes | 25c | 136.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 75c | 131.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 20c | 128.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…b355backed Yes | 25c | 126.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…5eb8backed Yes | 25c | 114.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 28c | 102.51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 96.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Yes | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 26c | 95.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…49a9backed Yes | 26c | 91.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 23c | 74.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 26c | 74.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac6…8275backed Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…2ee4backed Yes | 28c | 68.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 30c | 67.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 26c | 65.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 75c | 65.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 25c | 64.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ead…b53dbacked Yes | 25c | 63.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 27c | 63.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 17c | 60.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 28c | 59.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b8…4c30backed No | 76c | 58.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 57.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…e3c0backed Yes | 27c | 53.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e8…8bbbbacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 76c | 47.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes | 27c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 22c | 45.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a4…8a24backed Yes | 26c | 43.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 75c | 42.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 73 | 78.1%57 W · 16 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 76c | 37.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 36.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 76c | 30.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 76c | 30.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 30.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 76c | 30.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 73c | 25.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 74c | 21.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 77c | 20.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.