Bundesliga · resolved market
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f9bdb859dd21a2cf62460222f66e934df762f11c741d72609dd1d11735c8593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $692,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $701,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 463 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 48c | 203,012$96,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,862.78 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 53c | 70,000$36,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,200 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2e…896dbacked No | 54c | 57,897$31,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,623.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de4…b032backed No | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +113%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 44,506$31,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,465.67 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f9…6910backed Yes | 45c | 42,839$19,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,277.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 28,888$16,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,205.71 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 24,432$12,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,979.46 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 22c | 23,940$5,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,297.6 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 19,670$10,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,294.09 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 18,744$12,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,871.94 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 52c | 17,000$8,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes | 47c | 14,437$6,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,741.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…665fbacked Yes | 0c | 13,758$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…a9c5backed Yes | 22c | 12,855$2,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,815.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd0…3373backed Yes | 29c | 11,631$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 49c | 10,394$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.31 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…7314backed No | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…314ebacked Yes | 47c | 9,845$4,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,627.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 52c | 8,934$4,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.23 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 52c | 8,796$4,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,221.94 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 72c | 8,198$5,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.59 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…5b2abacked Yes | 1c | 7,858$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 37c | 7,000$2,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.33 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 53c | 6,801$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.23 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 52c | 6,641$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.55 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 6,165$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,942.68 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 53c | 5,831$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.44 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 5,765$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.45 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 48c | 4,440$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130.99 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 51c | 4,288$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e3…0da5backed Yes | 49c | 4,098$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Yes | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 62c | 3,914$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.54 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 50c | 3,718$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.19 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 61c | 3,663$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.91 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked No | 54c | 3,601$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.68 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 47c | 2,850$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 2,450$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.42 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 47c | 2,319$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.88 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 5c | 2,263$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…6912backed Yes | 21c | 2,243$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 52c | 2,241$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.79 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Yes | 3c | 2,210$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +326.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Yes | 48c | 2,110$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.68 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Yes | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf7…0724backed Yes | 46c | 2,103$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 52c | 2,055$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.59 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.93 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 52c | 1,971$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.18 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.8 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 49c | 1,623$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.96 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 52c | 1,534$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.48 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed No | 56c | 1,454$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26a6…dedebacked Yes | 22c | 1,259$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 51c | 1,254$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.47 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,204$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.81 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 52c | 1,183$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.71 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 52c | 1,183$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.71 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 47c | 1,162$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.06 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked No | 67c | 1,161$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 53c | 1,079$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.98 | 146 | 52.7%77 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1d…43f2backed Yes | 4c | 1,024$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 49c | 1,009$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…c875backed Yes | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 49c | 988.79$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.51 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 52c | 985.6$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.09 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 52c | 985.6$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.09 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 54c | 977.75$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.87 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 57c | 974.2$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.91 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked Yes | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Yes | 48c | 957.81$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 11c | 952.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Yes | 49c | 927.66$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.55 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 53c | 924.94$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.21 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked No | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x738e…dc37backed Yes | 49c | 911.05$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 53c | 908.72$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.67 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 54c | 875.16$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.57 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a7…0af9backed Yes | 48c | 874.69$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 48c | 841$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 52c | 812.03$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.23 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Yes | 21c | 756.98$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 742.92$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.42 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 61c | 708.17$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.66 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 8c | 706.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Yes | 45c | 670.9$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 53c | 635.21$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.71 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 54c | 597.18$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.7 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?No won
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.