TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,542,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,853,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,542,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 352 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes44c374,212$163,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211,192.575726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c120,663$56,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,0114,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No47c63,247$29,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,951.014856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9977…3020backed No16c50,000$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes68c22,018$15,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,004.7790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes26c19,359$5,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,336.3415034.7%52 W · 98 L+0.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No20c17,710$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.653,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No53c16,330$8,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,641.6540357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c14,238$6,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,238.371,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c11,118$8,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,073.441,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No42c8,097$3,379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,378.8115051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No73c8,000$5,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,84011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed No48c7,937$3,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,813.381650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes26c7,217$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,305.07933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes27c7,083$1,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,170.561346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No16c7,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1206538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No8c6,144$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.5315150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No73c6,000$4,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3809457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No73c5,353$3,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,929.092,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No53c5,239$2,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,786.9123456.4%132 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No53c5,219$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,777.3528357.2%162 W · 121 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed Yes26c5,030$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.341741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.999536.8%35 W · 60 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No73c5,000$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.982755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Yes52c4,796$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.158756.3%49 W · 38 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6638…0b09backed Yes37c4,667$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,930.011145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No25c4,659$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.2992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8802240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No74c3,938$2,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,913.8215952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No73c3,500$2,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55510760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes29c3,497$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,482.521631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No8c3,161$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.631,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19010558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed No74c2,945$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.431163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes69c2,886$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.222623.1%6 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.27per pick50cpaid-66.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No73c2,433$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,776.332356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No74c2,210$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.3815459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes74c2,133$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.9618956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc1e…df02backed Yes28c2,108$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No55c2,051$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.6935759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No47c2,013$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.816657.6%38 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4607561.3%46 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes33c1,982$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.6850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No17c1,967$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5312050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ed8…32e8backed Yes28c1,916$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No56c1,793$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.3619953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Yes27c1,767$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.061947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No54c1,655$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.781,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb2…a30cbacked No22c1,598$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5960%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked No39c1,598$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.524269%29 W · 13 L+4.8wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes26c1,500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11011333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes28c1,500$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.221,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No36c1,420$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.220843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No74c1,388$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.769058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No74c1,388$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.769556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfe…a5d6backed No45c1,300$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.082254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9285…d28bbacked Yes28c1,224$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No74c1,108$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.774456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No73c1,100$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.987851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…adbebacked Yes27c1,062$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes27c1,062$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes27c1,048$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.9610145.5%46 W · 55 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes28c1,000$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72089050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704337.2%16 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7309056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73012159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No73c1,000$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7858…a5eabacked Yes27c1,000$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7353658.3%21 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85e5…9343backed Yes28c999.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes28c999.98$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.981,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No30c994$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.0622446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bea…facbbacked Yes26c992.35$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.341145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No74c984.4$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4611566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No49c969.4$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0122335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No73c959$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0720159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes27c956.2$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.032334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c953.52$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.5864457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes78c918.19$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20261657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No73c900$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65710759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Yes27c885.37$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.329833.7%33 W · 65 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No73c800$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5849753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes26c764.48$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.7222939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes27c750.79$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.0823727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe13d…3abbbacked Yes27c747.25$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+162.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes27c708.3$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.064544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f6…e46cbacked Yes26c700$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5182934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No72c697.54$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.1720360.1%122 W · 81 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No72c683.6$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.569164.8%59 W · 32 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No72c683.33$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.569660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…7695backed No48c653.9$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.15825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c640.09$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.4153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No10c626.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.167554.7%41 W · 34 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes27c624.58$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.947431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No73c600$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4388457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No73c595.3$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.529060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No73c580.19$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.193655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed No45c579.96$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed No72c541.37$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.791957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes27c532.53$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.75837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes27c531.22$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.795151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.