TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes17c43,726$7,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,380.745726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No80c28,230$22,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,689.8890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c9,717$6,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,303.7760732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes34c8,727$2,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,935.960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes10c3,804$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.684,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8401…0fa1backed Yes29c3,301$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.4933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes25c2,511$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.0292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes14c2,032$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.524526.7%12 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes5c2,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No72c1,903$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.811,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c1,534$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.2882844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c1,399$979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.6683640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes17c1,285$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21923727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Yes25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505431.5%17 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes30c948.93$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.121,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No75c912.67$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.9919662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No72c864.98$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes13c794.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.313839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked Yes28c765.44$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c698.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.562,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbf…8c7bbacked Yes28c683.43$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.3640%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No72c545.68$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7922446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes18c531.14$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0710418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes28c512.57$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.52128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.32per pick40cpaid-88.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes13c491.03$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.862147.6%10 W · 11 L+4.6wins+0.22per pick26cpaid+81.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c411.44$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0914951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes28c410.06$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8213426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes28c381.61$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No72c371.39$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.997667.1%51 W · 25 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6820843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1092…28d7backed Yes28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.682931%9 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes28c300.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.22138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No67c255.12$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1935145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes20c251.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.111,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c249.55$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes20c241.61$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.355427.8%15 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58be…2517backed Yes28c218.12$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.075825.9%15 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b73…12ccbacked Yes28c210.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked No73c202.15$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.582263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes28c200.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.19244.6%41 W · 51 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ca…ded5backed Yes10c189.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8443439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…68ecbacked Yes28c170.86$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.841833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Yes32c148.58$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.745255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No78c147.74$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8563553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes31c138.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1420630.6%63 W · 143 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c126.15$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5163757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes28c119.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.493330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes28c118.64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.229634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes23c115.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2760%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes28c101.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3515344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3177…cb28backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286051.7%31 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281492.9%13 W · 1 L+6.0wins+0.43per pick50cpaid+113.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2820353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No72c99.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes28c98.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.599237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ead…b53dbacked Yes29c98.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.58520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c95.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7462744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3831…d788backed Yes11c94.66$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid0%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x061d…b355backed Yes28c85.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No72c84.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7910062%62 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No73c78.16$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.114574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes32c77.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6659555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes29c77.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.427946.8%37 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Yes28c76.2$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.341435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No70c70.37$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1119247.4%91 W · 101 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…84acbacked Yes28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No71c67.28$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5134252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Yes28c66.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c66.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdd…a775backed Yes29c66.03$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No71c63.87$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.728672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes32c62.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes28c56.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8112958.1%75 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Yes28c54.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.318555.3%47 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe4bf…f385backed No73c53.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No72c49.98$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1430956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes28c47.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.412538.4%48 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No70c44.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2114140.4%57 W · 84 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No71c42.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.299660.4%58 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No71c42.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2135759.4%212 W · 145 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No72c42.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked No73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.921668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c77…6e76backed Yes28c37.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.232360.9%14 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No70c28.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3819953.3%106 W · 93 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No70c25.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5822553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf31…454abacked No72c20.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.83475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No73c19.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.317273.6%53 W · 19 L+0.3wins0.00per pick73cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed No71c17.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.062263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c15.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.0992254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x002e…af86backed No70c14.88$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.