Movies · resolved market
Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x463e1dd12804b111463fe7cfc138e01f99b0e05558829f997005815bd07b44bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 4c | 17,198$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.53 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 6c | 11,218$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.52 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…8f39backed Yes | 8c | 5,212$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.55 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8e…1dc1backed Yes | 13c | 4,125$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 38c | 2,524$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.65 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…c008backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,453$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,291$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,286$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,073$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…54e5backed Yes | 60c | 1,920$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 45c | 1,843$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.13 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…4aefbacked Yes | 9c | 1,770$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…f5a6backed No | 73c | 1,547$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,399$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fb…859dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,362$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 23c | 1,149$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 7c | 1,143$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 64c | 895.74$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.45 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 43c | 876$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.4 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…5b9abacked Yes | 4c | 859.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddf…2c83backed Yes | 12c | 850$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb848…275cbacked Yes | 5c | 833.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…4fd8backed Yes | 2c | 799.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…0f21backed Yes | 39c | 742.19$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f1…3dccbacked Yes | 2c | 700$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 5c | 564.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked Yes | 64c | 544.9$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.33 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…efd0backed Yes | 2c | 534.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…c6bfbacked Yes | 46c | 534.71$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…0839backed Yes | 4c | 507.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…27febacked Yes | 4c | 503.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf940…3239backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 3c | 462.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 266 | 41.7%111 W · 155 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Yes | 2c | 448.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 3c | 358$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 57c | 349.61$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ce…39dfbacked Yes | 14c | 345.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee2…abe9backed Yes | 9c | 320$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 319.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 4c | 319.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…9f46backed Yes | 5c | 319.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…b953backed Yes | 25c | 306.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 8c | 299.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91f…a82bbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 271.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…3dbfbacked No | 75c | 271.35$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed Yes | 16c | 270$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…e751backed Yes | 24c | 266.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 5c | 259.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…3fd6backed Yes | 5c | 249.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +568.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 228.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…588abacked Yes | 8c | 223.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 21c | 222.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 7c | 204.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 37c | 202.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba0…6b03backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Yes | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfb…e887backed Yes | 7c | 197.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 10c | 196.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…1bd6backed Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…2ab1backed Yes | 8c | 138.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…3e9cbacked Yes | 8c | 134.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba9f…87acbacked Yes | 16c | 127.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…4a12backed Yes | 49c | 118.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed No | 45c | 116.69$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…4fd6backed Yes | 34c | 113.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…de58backed Yes | 15c | 111.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c0…d5cdbacked Yes | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 56c | 94.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 53c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…35dcbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 74.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 73c | 62.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…cad5backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…e6d5backed Yes | 34c | 53.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 57c | 50.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…1eedbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 79c | 28.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edc…c22bbacked Yes | 41c | 26.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed No | 79c | 25.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9396…9586backed Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 72cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 77c | 16.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)this page
- Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No won
- Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.