Movies · resolved market
Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290cc73955cca32fcb9c276f88991e5159991845e385822bda28c295350e1163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb8e…1dc1backed Yes | 34c | 18,553$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,153.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 18c | 17,718$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,527.58 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…8f39backed Yes | 10c | 15,656$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,125.52 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x85a3…84b5backed Yes | 24c | 5,971$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,557.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 9c | 4,053$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…4a12backed No | 67c | 3,826$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…9809backed Yes | 30c | 2,624$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +237.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked No | 76c | 2,496$1,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,889.03 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd896…c6bfbacked No | 66c | 2,468$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.37 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…27febacked Yes | 9c | 2,454$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 26c | 2,392$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.41 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe55b…4e68backed Yes | 44c | 2,190$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 30c | 1,985$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.39 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 66c | 1,937$1,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ca…0f21backed No | 75c | 1,900$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 73c | 1,700$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 63c | 1,600$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 12c | 1,322$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 19c | 1,311$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Yes | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed Yes | 77c | 1,071$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…f5a6backed No | 77c | 989.95$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 16c | 980$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.74 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 843.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.27 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee2…abe9backed No | 26c | 750.2$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 8c | 709.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.12 | 332 | 23.8%79 W · 253 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 17c | 697.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.62 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 71c | 668.87$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…3a94backed No | 68c | 526.64$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 505.94$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.32 | 1,415 | 8%113 W · 1,302 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 57 | 17.5%10 W · 47 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 7c | 439.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.19 | 67 | 4.5%3 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 50c | 439.13$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 14c | 400.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 384.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.01 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c0…60c5backed No | 80c | 380$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 374.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.13 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…aecebacked No | 68c | 363.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 7c | 359.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.93 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…e6a6backed Yes | 6c | 323.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,104.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 306.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.08 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…6fd2backed No | 53c | 300$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…c6debacked No | 71c | 266.67$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.34 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 254.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.92 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 70c | 250$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 35c | 243.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Yes | 7c | 232.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,348.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 41c | 230$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…449dbacked No | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 64c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…3763backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b54…3fd6backed Yes | 7c | 169.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +568.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe746…aae5backed Yes | 34c | 155$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…4fd6backed Yes | 26c | 148.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…fb57backed No | 70c | 143.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed No | 55c | 143.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.58 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 42c | 130$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 80c | 125.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Yes | 21c | 120.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 63c | 118.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 35c | 106$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc483…8ac8backed Yes | 22c | 104.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 75c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked No | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed No | 77c | 70.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 62c | 62.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5359…6b35backed Yes | 18c | 62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +468.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 45c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…b952backed Yes | 62c | 48.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…e6d5backed Yes | 26c | 45.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ed…0820backed Yes | 30c | 43.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c2…de58backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…5db1backed No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcad9…afe3backed No | 65c | 30.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…c1d7backed Yes | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…6cadbacked Yes | 65c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)this page
- Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No won
- Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.