Movies · resolved market
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ece235d45cb27d67f8610e0f26341fa20c5ad8663c5adc00751af8c569b65ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $173,411
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $177,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $173,411 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeb8e…1dc1backed No | 44c | 25,571$11,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,255.27 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a3…84b5backed No | 24c | 14,250$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,893.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +323.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…8f39backed No | 20c | 9,955$1,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,010.64 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 60c | 8,049$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,843.96 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 77c | 5,505$4,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,262.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…e125backed Yes | 64c | 4,895$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 76c | 4,821$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 77c | 4,325$3,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,309.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ae…f5a6backed Yes | 68c | 4,119$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 61c | 3,500$2,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.98 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 63c | 3,274$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…27febacked No | 14c | 3,033$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed Yes | 71c | 2,948$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 53c | 2,900$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,546.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 8c | 2,781$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.85 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…9925backed Yes | 62c | 2,700$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Yes | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee2…abe9backed Yes | 48c | 2,529$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 34c | 2,500$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.09 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 69c | 2,407$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.68 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ec…a946backed Yes | 72c | 2,220$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed Yes | 61c | 2,055$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,023$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa02…5b9abacked Yes | 60c | 1,945$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed No | 39c | 1,900$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 79c | 1,900$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 20c | 1,788$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.01 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…85b4backed No | 64c | 1,783$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,738$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.63 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed Yes | 68c | 1,500$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8983…24fbbacked Yes | 69c | 1,407$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…e6a6backed No | 12c | 1,386$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,104.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 11c | 1,385$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.71 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,321$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9b…27bdbacked Yes | 79c | 1,269$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…8c18backed Yes | 60c | 1,149$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…aecebacked Yes | 72c | 1,135$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…7ac3backed Yes | 72c | 1,126$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.06 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed Yes | 68c | 1,104$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.43 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 57c | 1,100$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5e…5c24backed Yes | 74c | 1,021$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…61fdbacked Yes | 56c | 1,002$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 13c | 988.96$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +22.0wins | +0.23per pick | 23cpaid | +88%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed Yes | 21c | 889.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed Yes | 70c | 800$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.2 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4ef1backed No | 23c | 783.46$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 49c | 752.22$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Yes | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 51c | 700$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x445a…9465backed Yes | 78c | 692.54$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2da…74e3backed Yes | 70c | 689.38$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.23 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 49c | 635.91$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58da…42aebacked Yes | 78c | 620.4$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…76e5backed Yes | 75c | 618.49$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 77c | 600$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 27c | 600$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 79c | 591.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac3…16f6backed Yes | 78c | 509.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…6da4backed Yes | 60c | 502.06$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be5…9b6abacked No | 11c | 500.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 7cpaid | +360.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdce…5112backed Yes | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…383abacked Yes | 67c | 500$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5520…32ffbacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 483.87$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.67 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…0436backed Yes | 55c | 481.69$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 53c | 477.19$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…aecebacked Yes | 54c | 459.5$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 54c | 454$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…60f2backed Yes | 53c | 452.89$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…3763backed Yes | 10c | 417.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e8…e923backed No | 29c | 408.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.69 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 26c | 404.6$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.45 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…a75fbacked Yes | 69c | 399.47$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 14c | 395.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.71 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 12c | 392.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.69 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde3…719abacked Yes | 70c | 390.91$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 30c | 389.97$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 65c | 384$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.28 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…9e08backed No | 13c | 382.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +299.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…6562backed Yes | 67c | 368.09$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 66c | 352.64$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…ea12backed Yes | 70c | 348.39$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 27c | 336.22$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.52 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…d430backed Yes | 63c | 316.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…90e3backed Yes | 79c | 311.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5d…185dbacked Yes | 64c | 299.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 40c | 299.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.7 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed No | 23c | 288.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.05 | 133 | 21.1%28 W · 105 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 10c | 287.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.63 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…b21bbacked Yes | 73c | 280.79$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 266.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 75c | 266$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 64cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b8…e7d5backed Yes | 73c | 260$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x463c…b6fdbacked Yes | 61c | 254.84$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 74c | 250$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc0…d46fbacked No | 13c | 244.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +663.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…c008backed No | 25c | 240$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 58c | 239$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbc…7032backed No | 13c | 231.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed Yes | 68c | 229.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)this page
- Will "Emily in Paris: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No won
- Will "Man Vs Baby" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)Yes won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.