TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb5c7…5510

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
174
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 58 out of 100; worst World Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4168.3%28 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$432.06
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$28.48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$100.7
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,678.32
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$295.5
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$756Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$756.3
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$839Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$839
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$292.27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$23.2
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$156
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.05
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,740Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$459.79
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$240.13
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$10.75
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$799Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,016.48
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.2
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$481.82
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$80.8
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$100.36
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,093Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$555.5
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.08
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$616Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$615.98
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT2532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $30M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$528
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$164
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$119
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$445Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$444.54
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$667.56
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$74
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$4,170.05
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$303.68
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$486Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$485.72
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+35.2%+$209.77
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,443.94
Kodiak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$642Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+39.5%+$253.7
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$265.06
Over $30M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$57.2
Over $50M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over $15M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+31.6%+$96
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$57.52
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$219
Over $800M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$92.68
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+40.5%+$149.75
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+194.1%+$330
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$674.46
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+38%+$434.44
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1675%12 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+105.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,166Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$345.91
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,816Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$684
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$686Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$410.31
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$38
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.3%+$215
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+49%+$65.8
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$114
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+73.4%+$254
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+58.7%+$37
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$144.63
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+25%+$40
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,580.7%+$188.1
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+35.8%+$167.54
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+34.5%+$11.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+77.2%+$304.96
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$150.55
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+99.2%+$99.6
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$124
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$130.51
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,094.76
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$726Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$725.77
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$149.93
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$561Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$561.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+70.8%+$849.32
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 24m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$505.86
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.1%+$122.5
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be less than 157m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+62.4%+$115.31
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$91.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$648.3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$97.4
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$374.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,811Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+36.7%+$663.94
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+64.6%+$117.87
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$49.4
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$928Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+43.1%+$400.06
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.9%+$76
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+53.2%+$278.4
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$523Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+27.6%+$144.51
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+32.1%+$90.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$395
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Astralis (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$19.4
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$380.68
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+33.3%+$95.88
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$77.5
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+26.9%+$60.95
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX (BO3)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.25
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+39%+$91.44
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-48.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.7
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$91
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$207.89
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$35.41
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$64.22
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$36.5
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.74
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$384
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$75.18
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Wings vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.16
Rangers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$131.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,546Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$1,030.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$440
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$392.09
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.