CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd9cadcc168a095461f2eef03bf9c13f2c5cf555c29e766a47368876b6cc9dd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Heroic | 41c | 31,698$12,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,966.49 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked TheMongolz | 59c | 30,000$17,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,300 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked TheMongolz | 75c | 10,815$8,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.68 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Heroic | 41c | 7,881$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.49 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed TheMongolz | 61c | 5,500$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,144.99 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Heroic | 40c | 5,388$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.94 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed TheMongolz | 60c | 4,534$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.33 | 284 | 53.5%152 W · 132 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Heroic | 37c | 4,103$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.27 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked TheMongolz | 49c | 3,112$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,575.7 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…ebbfbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 3,067$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +89%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed TheMongolz | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Heroic | 38c | 2,803$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.81 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed TheMongolz | 49c | 2,767$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.46 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Heroic | 18c | 2,416$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.89 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…a465backed Heroic | 65c | 2,223$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked TheMongolz | 68c | 2,216$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.6 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…a367backed Heroic | 44c | 1,805$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.06 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Heroic | 39c | 1,538$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Heroic | 40c | 1,480$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.1 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 33c | 1,434$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.32 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Heroic | 63c | 1,086$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.85 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 25c | 1,054$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.45 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Heroic | 16c | 1,031$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Heroic | 36c | 1,023$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.27 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed TheMongolz | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…4b41backed TheMongolz | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 57c | 907.02$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 900$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 62c | 840.87$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed TheMongolz | 79c | 835.61$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Heroic | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 33c | 755.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Heroic | 39c | 732.67$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.25 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed TheMongolz | 57c | 651.48$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.55 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed TheMongolz | 37c | 579.47$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.07 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…1a4ebacked TheMongolz | 59c | 536.88$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked Heroic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed TheMongolz | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heroic | 61c | 488.24$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.35 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Heroic | 54c | 435$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.7 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed TheMongolz | 69c | 425$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.25 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Heroic | 38c | 420$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TheMongolz | 64c | 369$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed TheMongolz | 61c | 361.23$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.88 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked TheMongolz | 67c | 338.64$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.75 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed TheMongolz | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TheMongolz | 57c | 326.23$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed TheMongolz | 72c | 326.2$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…757fbacked TheMongolz | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Heroic | 39c | 310$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked TheMongolz | 53c | 304.9$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.42 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d51…4946backed TheMongolz | 47c | 292.6$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8860…4708backed Heroic | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed Heroic | 42c | 237.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 377 | 52%196 W · 181 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked TheMongolz | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Heroic | 36c | 211$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed TheMongolz | 59c | 210$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Heroic | 54c | 200.85$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed TheMongolz | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed TheMongolz | 37c | 170$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 164$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Heroic | 40c | 162.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.04 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Heroic | 56c | 158.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed TheMongolz | 62c | 154.84$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…30e9backed Heroic | 54c | 154.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.23 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed TheMongolz | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked TheMongolz | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked TheMongolz | 79c | 131$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Heroic | 63c | 126.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Heroic | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…3ef6backed Heroic | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9975…e7e6backed TheMongolz | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed TheMongolz | 64c | 117.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 110.3$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb10…bdd3backed TheMongolz | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed TheMongolz | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked Heroic | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…b0b1backed Heroic | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked TheMongolz | 51c | 92.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…c5e9backed TheMongolz | 63c | 92.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4895…0a83backed Heroic | 15c | 91.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed TheMongolz | 58c | 90.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed TheMongolz | 58c | 88.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed TheMongolz | 40c | 87.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed TheMongolz | 62c | 87.8$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb027…888fbacked TheMongolz | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 33c | 78.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed TheMongolz | 59c | 73.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked TheMongolz | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Heroic | 41c | 60.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa766…5c8ebacked TheMongolz | 61c | 60.59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82f…59bfbacked Heroic | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…f018backed TheMongolz | 50c | 59.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…3964backed Heroic | 41c | 58.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed TheMongolz | 51c | 53.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.23 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed TheMongolz | 44c | 49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked TheMongolz | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed TheMongolz | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…ce28backed Heroic | 40c | 46.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked TheMongolz | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 WinnerTheMongolz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.