CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x011a4ec2f02df35209121b18194b38b6807a6c880ea7f013d9c3ada6fb9ac1c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TheMongolzof TheMongolz, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 45c | 1,347$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.01 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 35c | 1,008$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.62 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 823.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.44 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9160…de3dbacked Heroic | 35c | 691.09$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed TheMongolz | 67c | 669$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…ee55backed TheMongolz | 45c | 650$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic | 2c | 615$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked TheMongolz | 63c | 528.57$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TheMongolz | 60c | 375.77$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.35 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed TheMongolz | 71c | 311.2$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed TheMongolz | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Heroic | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked TheMongolz | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed TheMongolz | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed TheMongolz | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed TheMongolz | 73c | 24.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic (BO3)TheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.