Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd45e8aa86dbe32c045b45b378ca19c2686725177a00b203d26753cb85079f591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b7e…23ebbacked No | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.96 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +5.0wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 21c | 2,479$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.88 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed Yes | 48c | 1,700$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.34 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 52c | 1,002$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…0285backed Yes | 49c | 990.93$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 49c | 518.51$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…0760backed No | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 5c | 327.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 11c | 231$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941e…9775backed Yes | 49c | 215.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26bb…03cfbacked Yes | 49c | 209.97$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5510backed No | 52c | 199.98$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked Yes | 48c | 167.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d6…3ae3backed Yes | 29c | 114.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b741backed Yes | 12c | 108.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…7c51backed Yes | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 49c | 101.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed No | 56c | 95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb5…4d50backed Yes | 48c | 81.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ca…b27abacked No | 62c | 76.81$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…0830backed No | 54c | 76.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.02 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…695abacked Yes | 49c | 73.47$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2009…678cbacked Yes | 48c | 72.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb119…680bbacked No | 52c | 38.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf7…981bbacked No | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…82d7backed No | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc603…3220backed No | 52c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab20…d9e2backed No | 51c | 25.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…d58fbacked Yes | 48c | 20.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…50debacked No | 52c | 20.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?this page
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $48 in July?No won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid dip to $60 in July?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $72 in July?Yes won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in July?No won
- Will Hyperliquid reach $84 in July?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.