TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x965f…50de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
164
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9233.7%31 W · 61 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 29 to July 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$28.41
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$23.94
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$12.18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$45.87
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.87
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$651Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38%+$247.57
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.33
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$107.46
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+178.1%+$37.72
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$157.55
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$55.84
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.98
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$64.76
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+41%+$5.8
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.22
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.98
Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Taggerbacked Daria Snigur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
Estoril Open: Pedro Martinez vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$18.82
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Sebastian Baezbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$131.09
Generali Open: Mariano Navone vs Quentin Halysbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.71
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.48
Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Fariabacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$16.95
Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.77
Swedish Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$53.75
Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.19
Swiss Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Dominic Stephan Strickerbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+137.6%+$278.62
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.21
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$507Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$692.78
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.99
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.98
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.53
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.45
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+73.4%+$99.7
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.46
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+224.1%+$210.79
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.06
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.73
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$38.67
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$169.13
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.54
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.16
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+85.3%+$44.91
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+571.3%+$325.31
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.05
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$71.01
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.7
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+96.9%+$78.61
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$105.69
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.19
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$53.23
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$18.56
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$51.63
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.8%+$41.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+126.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+37.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+93.8%+$10.08
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$3.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$4.43
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+69.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C on February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+126.1%+$25.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.