Movies · resolved market
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92d63e17d8c345c6df201ee057c5c69d4241323149c5781847846c0b5f977b8f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,690 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 12c | 15,152$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.23 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…35cebacked Yes | 25c | 14,136$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,485.82 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 1c | 9,196$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed No | 65c | 4,822$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,685.44 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 9c | 4,084$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.37 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 17c | 3,417$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 31c | 3,120$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 32c | 2,343$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.49 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,729$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,706$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 210 | 9.5%20 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,452$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 1c | 1,447$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,356$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.86 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 72c | 1,303$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.81 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 24c | 1,213$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.74 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53a4…4447backed Yes | 39c | 1,186$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.65 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,128$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 13c | 1,100$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed No | 68c | 1,000$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.64 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 30c | 850$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.77 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 77c | 834.82$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.19 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 23c | 714.49$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.62 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 14c | 681.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.1 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 40c | 573.34$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 66c | 510$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 62c | 491.13$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.51 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 479.45$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 68c | 450.05$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.22 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 23c | 431.69$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 56c | 414.82$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.81 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf933…52fbbacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.15 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 26c | 399.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 7c | 386.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 79c | 315$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed No | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 14c | 287.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 42c | 278.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.92 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 19c | 255$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 75c | 251$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 23c | 250$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…cd66backed Yes | 40c | 237.38$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 75c | 217.59$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 32c | 211.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 18c | 201.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 29c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.36 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 64c | 199.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 18c | 185.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…f8b1backed Yes | 16c | 182.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…735abacked Yes | 16c | 152.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…4c92backed No | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 34c | 112.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Yes | 42c | 100.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 67c | 100.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.02 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 98.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4e…c703backed Yes | 23c | 87.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 38c | 80.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad47…1d5abacked Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 76.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…e32abacked Yes | 26c | 75.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5548…9cc6backed Yes | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 52c | 69.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…4169backed Yes | 35c | 56.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Yes | 37c | 53.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.35per pick | 47cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…f202backed Yes | 38c | 53.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…50debacked Yes | 40c | 50.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 33c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…0695backed Yes | 24c | 43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked No | 64c | 38.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…9847backed No | 74c | 34.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb7…3647backed No | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…3652backed Yes | 38c | 29.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233c…6fd0backed No | 74c | 28.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5564…cfc9backed No | 76c | 24.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c8…be84backed No | 74c | 22.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f67…af63backed No | 76c | 21.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed No | 70c | 21.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 80c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed No | 80c | 16.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc9…0b92backed No | 74c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 75cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…c45abacked No | 78c | 14.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?this page
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?Yes won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.