Movies · resolved market
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ae9f649e8a98e76fcdc05ee1399380b228d0f2c05ccafeb76d454205dd5eb41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $199,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,734 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 7c | 46,313$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.71 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc90d…c9d2backed Yes | 11c | 21,500$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 38c | 13,934$5,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,231.89 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 15c | 9,621$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.93 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 20c | 7,809$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.7 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 6c | 7,763$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.58 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 3c | 6,698$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.76 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 2c | 4,584$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…35cebacked No | 46c | 3,210$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.22 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed No | 73c | 3,095$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.47 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,707$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.54 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 42c | 2,507$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.25 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 22c | 2,446$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.38 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…ac7abacked Yes | 58c | 1,736$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 35c | 1,729$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.06 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,478$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.86 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 19c | 1,475$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.03 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…e15abacked Yes | 4c | 1,335$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 1,307$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.71 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 77c | 1,281$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.55 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 19c | 1,156$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.64 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 68c | 1,100$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…e259backed Yes | 10c | 1,050$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 18c | 1,039$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 37c | 1,007$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.71 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 60c | 992$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.15 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 47c | 934.31$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439 | 195 | 32.8%64 W · 131 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2aa…586fbacked Yes | 24c | 900$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 44c | 897.82$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 53c | 894.88$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.46 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 20c | 879.29$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.35 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 37c | 859.99$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 49c | 807.87$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.96 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…ba97backed Yes | 11c | 655.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 11c | 631.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 11c | 628.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.43 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46a…9763backed Yes | 39c | 620.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe12b…ee78backed Yes | 5c | 600.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed No | 67c | 600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed Yes | 60c | 593.79$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…b395backed Yes | 50c | 587.49$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84b…7212backed Yes | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…5251backed Yes | 21c | 537.75$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…ec5ebacked Yes | 46c | 507.58$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.9 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…fa5fbacked Yes | 5c | 447.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9349…0486backed Yes | 58c | 447.47$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 18c | 422$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 46c | 386.2$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed Yes | 16c | 385.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 26c | 383.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.7 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 13c | 375.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628b…6861backed Yes | 41c | 370.88$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa616…b8ffbacked Yes | 32c | 361.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…2421backed Yes | 29c | 350.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a19…8f5bbacked Yes | 9c | 350$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked Yes | 18c | 343$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…3f67backed No | 70c | 313.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 44c | 299.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 37c | 299.63$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.7 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 16c | 278.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 42c | 270.3$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.17 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 33c | 255.73$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…7b89backed Yes | 37c | 254.69$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 33c | 254.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 16c | 246.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 73c | 241.57$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 17c | 238.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes | 64c | 232.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…1c5bbacked Yes | 41c | 217.16$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2482…67b1backed Yes | 8c | 200.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 53c | 190.44$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 40c | 181.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4a…1b2fbacked Yes | 8c | 175.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 30c | 168.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 35c | 162.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 49c | 150$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 10c | 149.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked Yes | 57c | 141.96$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…f4f8backed Yes | 49c | 141.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc205…eec2backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 38c | 136.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 129.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…e44abacked Yes | 18c | 129.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…db5bbacked Yes | 42c | 121.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 60c | 111.7$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Yes | 63c | 109.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…e993backed No | 80c | 107.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Yes | 20c | 106.44$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…2cbabacked Yes | 58c | 102.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…46b5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…444cbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fc…7717backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 51c | 99.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?this page
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?Yes won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.