Movies · resolved market
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b85cbdf5dc73a47f05695946c7b690564360b4c1907afd4041aa89650d45f3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $262,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,036 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked No | 1c | 75,959$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.46 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…8686backed Yes | 67c | 14,983$10,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,948.89 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…c533backed Yes | 58c | 9,249$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.99 | 297 | 35.7%106 W · 191 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 37c | 6,813$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,266.48 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 57c | 3,311$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.95 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…3d7ebacked Yes | 57c | 2,819$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.51 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e7…f51ebacked No | 1c | 2,338$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1920…a04ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,876$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.07 | 126 | 31%39 W · 87 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 60c | 1,729$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.04 | 137 | 35%48 W · 89 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f8…c5e4backed Yes | 37c | 1,496$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.06 | 294 | 23.5%69 W · 225 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -43%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 46c | 1,456$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.44 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 68c | 1,402$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.3 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,393$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.39 | 233 | 21.5%50 W · 183 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 66c | 957.89$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.1 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…f237backed Yes | 80c | 628.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c2…55d6backed No | 72c | 625.56$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.66 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…9b10backed Yes | 21c | 548.91$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.44 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8907…a996backed Yes | 73c | 526.75$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 22c | 508.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.79 | 210 | 9.5%20 W · 190 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…355ebacked Yes | 52c | 426$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.22 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 69c | 394.97$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 71c | 387.89$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e28…cf34backed Yes | 44c | 386.2$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…6735backed Yes | 60c | 378.47$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 70c | 356.06$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.82 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 29c | 353.83$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.83 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x401e…6fc9backed Yes | 33c | 349.67$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.61 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 27c | 335.95$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.73 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 19c | 324.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 29cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf434…c6aabacked No | 20c | 310$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb413…1cb7backed Yes | 33c | 299.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 31c | 219.97$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.85 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 19c | 219.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 38c | 217.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 21c | 214.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.22 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked No | 21c | 211.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 172.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 57c | 161.92$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 8c | 150.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 150.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 160 | 15.6%25 W · 135 L | -26.1wins | -0.16per pick | 32cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 38c | 144.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.08 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 65c | 143.04$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 64c | 137.54$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.51 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…b16abacked No | 20c | 136$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked No | 8c | 125.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 138 | 20.3%28 W · 110 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 19c | 120.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 44c | 119.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -57%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 65c | 106.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d2…2421backed Yes | 44c | 102.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 170 | 17.1%29 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcd…74c6backed Yes | 53c | 99.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 19c | 98.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 41c | 98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked No | 66c | 82.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…98b4backed Yes | 54c | 77.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 25c | 76.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 118 | 25.4%30 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe287…5a0fbacked No | 27c | 71.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…5eddbacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 49c | 66.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 48c | 58.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…872abacked No | 18c | 58.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…e32abacked Yes | 37c | 53.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Yes | 34c | 52.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c8…3652backed Yes | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 39c | 50.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9767backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Yes | 29c | 49.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…eebfbacked Yes | 41c | 48.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 37c | 47.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 46c | 46.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 52c | 46.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb51…f32cbacked Yes | 27c | 45.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 53c | 44.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39d…b655backed No | 53c | 38.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95db…6b18backed Yes | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked No | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…afd3backed Yes | 55c | 36.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27e…a9d0backed No | 57c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 57c | 34.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -9.7wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 33.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4e…e44abacked Yes | 75c | 33.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Yes | 33c | 32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…862abacked Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3410…d5cdbacked Yes | 49c | 30.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…ac7abacked No | 59c | 29.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 68c | 29.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…31e4backed Yes | 71c | 29.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…eb1ebacked No | 73c | 27.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe5…c71cbacked Yes | 45c | 25.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?this page
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m?No won
- Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.