TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0327…5e15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
231
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Boxing, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT2832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.49
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$43.37
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.2
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.99
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.99
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$24.5
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+376.2%+$277.63
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$45
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+455.6%+$492
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Muslim" 5+ times during Egypt summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+54.6%+$45.9
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.71
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$52.84
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.17
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$21.25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.45
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$47.63
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$8.64
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.06
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+112.8%+$53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.88
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.87
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+502%+$2,043
All 25 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$31.01
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.7
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.24
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.28
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$227.19
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.6
Will Donald Trump say "NATO" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$174.84
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$93.66
Will Donald Trump say "card" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+35.1%+$104
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 10+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+42.9%+$205.34
Will Donald Trump say "beautiful" during Ukraine President events on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+53.4%+$42.78
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$279.49
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+732.3%+$113.91
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.91
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 2 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.37
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.69
Will "Marty Supreme" win no awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.94
Will "Sinners" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$69.3
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be between 17.5m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$331.1
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$29.52
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$862Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+34.4%+$296.86
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$9.15
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+79.6%+$18.05
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$25.57
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.27
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.43
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.4
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.83
All 15 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-58.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Music — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.33
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.73
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.2
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
Will "Virgil" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+299.1%+$40.7
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 22 minutes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+37%+$25.75
Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Fnatic vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$167.65
LoL: Colossal Gaming vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked Colossal Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
LoL: BRUTE vs DMG Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+206.8%+$206.78
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.7%+$10.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.82
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$35.52
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$38
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$232.27
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$131.4
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$31.79
Will Robert Lulgjuraj be the Republican Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$5.56
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Kevin Hern be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.73
Will Paul LePage be the Republican Nominee for ME-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Calvin Lee advance from the CA-34 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$120.5
Will Stephanie Bice replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Dems or GOP larger turnout in Texas Senate Primary?backed Dems · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+74.6%+$42.73
Will the California Proposition 50 referendum have the largest Democratic margin of victory?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$80.1
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Mehmood Mirza win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$23.24
Will Forhad Hussain win the 2026 London Borough of Newham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$25.74
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$107.56
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.23
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.83
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$176
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$173.99
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+400%+$160
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.51
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 11-17 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 27-May 3 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$43.17
Will the DHS shutdown end between May 18-24 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.87
Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25%+$40
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$248
Trump approval Up or Down this week?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$160.8
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.62
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.11
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60.75
Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$38.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid+51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+43.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+358.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+81.8%+$310.5
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+635.3%+$432
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+31.6%+$124.8
Will Nottingham Forest vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+69.5%+$28.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2024, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+28.2%+$6.66
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+38.9%+$9.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.59
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$264.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$34.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+134.2%+$509.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
European Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$22.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.