Tennis · resolved market
European Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jiri Lehecka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a7fe74f207a7e04e8da1791ae314628c7b543e03f03ffacf818e33262b36e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Perricard, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7606…2836backed Perricard | 50c | 30,000$14,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,882.09 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lehecka | 50c | 7,902$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,944.88 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lehecka | 52c | 5,845$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.49 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Lehecka | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Perricard | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Lehecka | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lehecka | 54c | 3,408$1,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lehecka | 58c | 2,667$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,132.63 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lehecka | 60c | 2,600$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lehecka | 60c | 1,449$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Lehecka | 53c | 1,321$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.79 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Lehecka | 60c | 1,300$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Lehecka | 58c | 999$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.58 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Lehecka | 58c | 989.49$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.38 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lehecka | 57c | 760.99$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.94 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lehecka | 61c | 755$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.45 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Lehecka | 50c | 480$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Lehecka | 60c | 453.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.09 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Perricard | 26c | 320$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Perricard | 41c | 304.88$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Perricard | 39c | 258.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lehecka | 65c | 254$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Perricard | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Lehecka | 65c | 231.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Perricard | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Lehecka | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Lehecka | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Perricard | 24c | 144.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Perricard | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Perricard | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lehecka | 59c | 84.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Perricard | 38c | 83.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98d…745ebacked Perricard | 22c | 72.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Perricard | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Lehecka | 56c | 63.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Lehecka | 63c | 60.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lehecka | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Perricard | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Lehecka | 58c | 44.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked Perricard | 42c | 44.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Perricard | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…9347backed Lehecka | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Lehecka | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7641…e092backed Lehecka | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…8570backed Lehecka | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…be63backed Lehecka | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked Lehecka | 66c | 21.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.