China Taiwan · resolved market
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e17fe4fd80ffaa342b1ce15d59e56c0347a90422d90e6345048be78e1963b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- China Taiwanevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 283 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in China Taiwan is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc662…b919backed No | 73c | 6,316$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,708.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 11c | 3,354$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbc…7cc3backed No | 51c | 3,084$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…7d2dbacked Yes | 53c | 2,778$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked Yes | 44c | 2,720$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 35c | 2,550$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 40c | 2,388$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…af31backed No | 39c | 2,160$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…2b93backed Yes | 10c | 2,120$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…946dbacked No | 64c | 2,119$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 57c | 1,613$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.17 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 25c | 1,556$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 29c | 1,536$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…527fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,529$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…0540backed Yes | 14c | 1,442$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 48c | 1,317$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c2…9ab4backed Yes | 24c | 1,248$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2940…304cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,231$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 54c | 1,182$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 56c | 1,162$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.52 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7306backed Yes | 11c | 1,030$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe397…bfcbbacked No | 78c | 1,024$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd6…10d4backed No | 78c | 1,023$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 1,022$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.28 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 45c | 1,021$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.17 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 41c | 1,003$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.66 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 27c | 999.39$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 46c | 996$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46ee…eb1ebacked Yes | 38c | 982.84$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…55dabacked Yes | 18c | 966.12$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked No | 59c | 947.41$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +471.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 39c | 937.16$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…b8eabacked No | 72c | 908$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked Yes | 15c | 889.21$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 72c | 880.47$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -7.5wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 15c | 838.28$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…8f4ebacked Yes | 23c | 747.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 69c | 735.74$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.74 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…2c14backed Yes | 14c | 711.25$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…2fd5backed Yes | 13c | 698.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…ae29backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 688.28$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.75 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed No | 34c | 673.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a5…5f3cbacked Yes | 60c | 660$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed No | 51c | 654.89$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +312.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 73c | 654.26$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed Yes | 48c | 637.35$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 32c | 610.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +221.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 67c | 605.68$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked No | 40c | 600.02$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…c444backed Yes | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…6043backed No | 79c | 598.88$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x649e…02c9backed Yes | 17c | 580.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 29c | 571.14$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…b3a6backed No | 35c | 558.02$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +187.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…defabacked Yes | 65c | 551.97$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 73c | 542.83$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 17c | 538.94$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…cbc8backed Yes | 26c | 532.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…3137backed Yes | 32c | 524.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…fa05backed Yes | 38c | 523.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 59c | 506.02$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +562.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 46 | 4.3%2 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed No | 52c | 499.98$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aea…2c56backed Yes | 21c | 481.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 73c | 475.9$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 62c | 455.17$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 436.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 127 | 7.9%10 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed No | 32c | 425$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1264…2a84backed Yes | 16c | 405.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 26c | 397.85$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.38 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…3b29backed No | 78c | 383.89$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…e4b0backed Yes | 27c | 376.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 20c | 369.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 364.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…f17abacked Yes | 25c | 358.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed No | 73c | 356.7$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7b…1ba9backed Yes | 47c | 350$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 37c | 345$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…ba2fbacked Yes | 30c | 344.09$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 40c | 327.93$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…b649backed Yes | 51c | 321.42$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…bac6backed Yes | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5665…b378backed Yes | 68c | 310.74$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9456…4f9fbacked No | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e95ebacked Yes | 15c | 295.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 22c | 286.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 59c | 267.42$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed Yes | 39c | 258$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…9670backed Yes | 61c | 254$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 24c | 250$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 16cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 47c | 249.43$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 243.2$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in China Taiwan and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.