Us Politics · resolved market
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcecd1388983a8e8afebab7d3f9e226f894f74e1b03c5579e8c4afa7e6b0ab9f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $707,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $955,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $707,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x707b…416abacked Yes | 7c | 5,344$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.74 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03a6…97e6backed Yes | 1c | 4,422$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ee…68edbacked Yes | 2c | 4,377$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4e…65ddbacked Yes | 8c | 4,375$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 4,365$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.68 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…0ddcbacked Yes | 3c | 4,315$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52cf…b13abacked Yes | 2c | 4,202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…f5e2backed Yes | 2c | 4,089$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…32b3backed Yes | 1c | 2,787$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…d791backed Yes | 1c | 2,282$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…cc4dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,282$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…2898backed Yes | 1c | 2,220$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf506…3bb6backed Yes | 3c | 2,166$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc751…4121backed Yes | 1c | 2,155$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…5d77backed Yes | 2c | 2,154$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec5d…f880backed Yes | 2c | 2,145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…d1e2backed Yes | 2c | 2,145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8569…3654backed Yes | 1c | 2,082$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…f495backed Yes | 1c | 2,082$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a8…416cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,046$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…658cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,010$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,919$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…02fcbacked Yes | 2c | 1,877$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…bab8backed Yes | 2c | 1,864$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 2c | 1,658$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaace…24c9backed Yes | 1c | 1,651$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ca…48f9backed Yes | 7c | 1,600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,597$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 2c | 1,509$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…de7fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ce61backed Yes | 2c | 1,386$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 2c | 1,341$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 8c | 1,291$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7589…9413backed Yes | 1c | 1,259$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…7949backed Yes | 1c | 1,257$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…63f5backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,224$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…d8c8backed Yes | 2c | 1,209$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…22e1backed Yes | 1c | 1,170$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…e277backed Yes | 2c | 1,157$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…0414backed Yes | 1c | 1,153$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…7775backed Yes | 1c | 1,153$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…3effbacked Yes | 3c | 1,144$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…cd8ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…c6fcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,112$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc50…3755backed Yes | 3c | 1,104$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa417…d778backed Yes | 3c | 1,095$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0478…d6b5backed Yes | 2c | 1,080$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3524…9e96backed Yes | 1c | 1,058$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 1,041$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d6…bd20backed Yes | 1c | 1,037$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9847…a488backed Yes | 2c | 1,028$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…56b7backed Yes | 2c | 1,017$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…c160backed Yes | 1c | 1,004$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…5163backed Yes | 2c | 1,003$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…56acbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…a472backed Yes | 2c | 992$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5526…2336backed Yes | 3c | 985$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 2c | 932.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x979e…1585backed Yes | 2c | 904$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…0d4bbacked Yes | 2c | 895$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 3c | 872.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…7fa1backed Yes | 2c | 851.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 829.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 824.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…6692backed Yes | 2c | 798$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 6c | 789.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 2c | 735.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…8f24backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c60…27f5backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547e…9ea0backed Yes | 3c | 711$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Yes | 6c | 604.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7467…a98ebacked Yes | 3c | 589$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…4432backed Yes | 3c | 563$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…c5b5backed Yes | 3c | 563$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78b4…c109backed Yes | 2c | 556$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0de…5872backed Yes | 2c | 556$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…610ebacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…13febacked Yes | 2c | 545$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cde…af21backed Yes | 3c | 544.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e7…995bbacked Yes | 3c | 542$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…1ca6backed Yes | 3c | 536$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…dc74backed Yes | 3c | 534$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9e…557bbacked Yes | 2c | 532.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…d063backed Yes | 3c | 528$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…a3cabacked Yes | 3c | 528$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f58…cd33backed Yes | 3c | 526$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…dcb3backed Yes | 2c | 520$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffa…1d59backed Yes | 3c | 489.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…bb5fbacked Yes | 2c | 477$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 4c | 469.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 466.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 94 | 3.2%3 W · 91 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 421.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff31…5166backed Yes | 3c | 401.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 389.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…c462backed Yes | 4c | 357.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -76%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a15…7036backed Yes | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 6c | 338.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.