Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3bad95956d5159f02b1f4f111a5599d0640aa3922519a163463d92ed957e294
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6363…b44fbacked No | 0c | 46,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 61c | 33,092$20,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,064.52 | 942 | 40.2%379 W · 563 L | -69.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked Yes | 40c | 20,000$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Yes | 49c | 6,276$3,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,218.74 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 30c | 4,256$1,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.67 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed No | 75c | 3,435$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.76 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 73c | 2,719$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.64 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes | 55c | 2,547$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac5…ae24backed No | 46c | 2,392$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.8 | 198 | 55.6%110 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 1,039$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 1,032 | 9.3%96 W · 936 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…b9edbacked Yes | 52c | 996.71$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc8…8255backed No | 51c | 907.32$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 55c | 832.84$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.82 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe5…33a4backed No | 19c | 786.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b58…a73fbacked No | 64c | 705.32$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed No | 33c | 595.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.98 | 1,286 | 24.2%311 W · 975 L | -58.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes | 51c | 570.59$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.63 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 560$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 505.72$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.39 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…4d6abacked Yes | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a9…c455backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2db…2f89backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x211a…6ef4backed Yes | 30c | 472.48$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…924abacked No | 50c | 446.04$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f8…fcf6backed Yes | 31c | 410.33$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +247.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 50c | 399$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes | 21c | 392$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.81 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…8ae7backed Yes | 58c | 382.93$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed No | 37c | 380.95$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…292ebacked Yes | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…aa05backed Yes | 29c | 366.4$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.4 | 24 | 87.5%21 W · 3 L | +6.8wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 67c | 364.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 37c | 361.86$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 358.4$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.45 | 1,051 | 34.7%365 W · 686 L | -93.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 40c | 342.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9e…f04dbacked No | 42c | 340.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3e…0c98backed No | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 31c | 328$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…f748backed Yes | 30c | 322.78$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…8e47backed Yes | 38c | 309.49$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.95 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…b1e6backed Yes | 60c | 305.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…2b17backed Yes | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 20c | 299.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595a…bca8backed No | 70c | 248.83$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.88 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f3…844ebacked Yes | 24c | 247.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 308 | 39%120 W · 188 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 79c | 221.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd4…fe7bbacked No | 54c | 220.26$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…9629backed No | 31c | 219.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 17cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…da8dbacked Yes | 13c | 217.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.14 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 69c | 216.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 144 | 29.9%43 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 47c | 211.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 46c | 210.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…c495backed No | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yes | 60c | 201.86$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…bda7backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +94%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed No | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…725abacked Yes | 28c | 200$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…8912backed Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd62e…0fd0backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked No | 79c | 200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 64 | 75%48 W · 16 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…b858backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 20c | 199.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | -33.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c02…7555backed Yes | 45c | 196.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed Yes | 49c | 191.25$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bf…8ecebacked No | 37c | 190$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…5962backed Yes | 70c | 187.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked No | 13c | 178.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…3868backed No | 51c | 166.95$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8295…610cbacked Yes | 53c | 161.53$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d34…2ab1backed No | 53c | 160.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb527…3b52backed No | 47c | 160.44$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…b1a2backed Yes | 41c | 157.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa322…df32backed No | 77c | 153.17$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed No | 52c | 151.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Yes | 50c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab5…4bddbacked Yes | 27c | 147.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.47 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…1da5backed Yes | 39c | 145.63$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…4e76backed No | 79c | 144.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fd…59d3backed Yes | 47c | 138.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b81…1210backed No | 53c | 136.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked No | 71c | 135$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…2c73backed No | 79c | 129$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.91 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…b306backed Yes | 51c | 127$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed No | 60c | 110.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.04 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39f8…badabacked Yes | 58c | 108.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dd…1b9bbacked Yes | 42c | 103$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.35 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7748…58d7backed Yes | 51c | 101$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…1cecbacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e67…8831backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…5742backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3b…8c8dbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51d…4982backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?this page
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?Yes won
- Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.