TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9e67…8831

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.41
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$65.26
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+37%+$20.93
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$21.51
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$49.99
Celtics vs. Trail Blazersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$58.91
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$102.15
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.2
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$51.55
Nets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.64
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.11
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$79.12
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Red Wingsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.