NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3e9a89a50f386d9a1e6b1f1652a08ee3821722977c97f2ad153cbf30872afcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Bucks, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 322 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 54c | 55,189$30,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,175.79 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Hawks | 33c | 26,375$8,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,722.24 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Hawks | 45c | 20,302$9,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,227.58 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Hawks | 31c | 13,747$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.17 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Hawks | 40c | 12,768$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.58 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Bucks | 70c | 9,300$6,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.76 | 95 | 72.6%69 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Bucks | 69c | 8,775$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.23 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Hawks | 34c | 6,783$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.17 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 32c | 6,520$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.15 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hawks | 31c | 5,994$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.38 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Bucks | 70c | 5,833$4,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.85 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks | 34c | 4,552$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.75 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Bucks | 69c | 4,389$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.23 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Bucks | 70c | 4,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks | 30c | 3,005$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.58 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 67c | 2,774$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.32 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…9f1abacked Bucks | 61c | 2,761$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 57c | 2,473$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.76 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0712…f71bbacked Hawks | 34c | 2,206$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Hawks | 34c | 2,200$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.02 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hawks | 32c | 2,035$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.32 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Hawks | 2c | 2,004$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Hawks | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bucks | 67c | 1,952$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.57 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Hawks | 31c | 1,935$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Hawks | 31c | 1,913$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.03 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 64c | 1,718$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks | 67c | 1,608$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.29 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Bucks | 63c | 1,550$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Bucks | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Bucks | 65c | 1,400$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Hawks | 6c | 1,325$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 66c | 1,180$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.3 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…3bd3backed Bucks | 69c | 1,149$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.04 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Hawks | 34c | 1,104$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.51 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Hawks | 1c | 1,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Bucks | 69c | 900$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Hawks | 31c | 824.05$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.01 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks | 31c | 800$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 65c | 791.95$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.18 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…a609backed Bucks | 66c | 755.64$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Hawks | 30c | 738.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Hawks | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks | 2c | 735$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Bucks | 69c | 716.67$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bucks | 66c | 702$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.68 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Bucks | 70c | 700$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 131 | 33.6%44 W · 87 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Hawks | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Hawks | 37c | 647.93$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Hawks | 36c | 628.44$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.24 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Hawks | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks | 30c | 588.43$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.53 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72f5…84f2backed Hawks | 33c | 580$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…2bc3backed Bucks | 67c | 580$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Bucks | 66c | 550$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Hawks | 31c | 539.03$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.1 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Hawks | 39c | 517.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Hawks | 32c | 500.63$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks | 30c | 460.14$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Hawks | 33c | 425$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.24 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42e0…0578backed Bucks | 65c | 400.15$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.05 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Bucks | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…8c56backed Bucks | 68c | 390$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x143b…b2b4backed Hawks | 32c | 379.28$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Hawks | 37c | 354.63$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Bucks | 69c | 335$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.85 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Bucks | 66c | 324.35$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…1dd3backed Hawks | 33c | 307.64$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…be12backed Hawks | 35c | 307.43$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hawks | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Bucks | 69c | 300.01$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Hawks | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Hawks | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…8500backed Bucks | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Hawks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd3…9642backed Hawks | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 303 | 54.1%164 W · 139 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Hawks | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216d…a4e1backed Hawks | 37c | 276$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks | 28c | 272.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Hawks | 37c | 270.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ca…874abacked Hawks | 34c | 270$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Hawks | 35c | 265$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…261fbacked Hawks | 33c | 259.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Hawks | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Bucks | 61c | 234.43$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Hawks | 31c | 229$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.51 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…a6b7backed Hawks | 44c | 226.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e9…0801backed Hawks | 35c | 223.54$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6fe…f8e6backed Hawks | 48c | 222$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Bucks | 68c | 220.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x855a…0985backed Bucks | 67c | 211.79$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Hawks | 34c | 206.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 173 | 35.8%62 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Bucks | 60c | 205$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…253cbacked Hawks | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Bucks | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…a7e9backed Hawks | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…08c3backed Bucks | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.