TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,192

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe15e…25f4backed Over21c4,818$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-78.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c4,659$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.454,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over20c3,900$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.1859230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over16c3,403$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.2434845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c3,126$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.013,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebc3…68e5backed Over22c2,949$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.515721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under43c2,606$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.4812146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under62c2,336$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.8461750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over24c1,859$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.363,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under54c1,534$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.4537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over15c1,507$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.692,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over62c1,261$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.5545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebc9…1ca3backed Under80c1,231$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.236264.5%40 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under68c1,130$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.6616153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under78c1,097$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.4413351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Over7c1,061$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dde…24ecbacked Over19c1,028$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7510242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under80c1,010$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2028949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under78c998.16$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.474,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under51c980$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over29c944.5$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.162,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over34c870.35$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.9215141.7%63 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+31.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over21c764$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4438745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Over2c683.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4746012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Under77c661.47$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.4716056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Under79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.9176551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4023…5746backed Over5c606.95$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.152634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under78c600$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13237451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under79c585.9$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.041,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under78c576.92$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9214564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over35c548.61$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1934330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under72c515.52$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2716325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under79c514.6$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.963,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under59c510.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.4710451.9%54 W · 50 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Over49c510.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9433843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013345.1%60 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc67…6f13backed Over59c500$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2944271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Under51c483.95$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb8aa…a3c7backed Under70c428.62$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.622100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over32c425.13$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0414463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over18c411.7$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1925865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Over53c381.36$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.12837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under79c379.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7648152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over21c362.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.241,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Under54c325.61$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9426459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed Under46c308.91$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.732050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under80c300.55$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1141857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…68b5backed Over59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17716152.2%84 W · 77 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over22c297.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under78c278.14$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.194967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under78c277.77$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.111,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over16c262.53$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked Over20c253.44$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.693125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under79c252.09$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under49c250$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.524626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Under41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Over24c229.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0936543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over13c227$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.681,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over17c223.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5528964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over17c211.5$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8235658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa37d…b9cebacked Over47c210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x630c…f294backed Over47c210$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.53839.5%15 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71a2…e17dbacked Under76c196.28$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.286271%44 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27ec…579dbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-78.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over19c190.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5419742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6844…7633backed Under53c188.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.987953.2%42 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe103…9526backed Under79c181.92$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f6…ee3ebacked Under72c170.82$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.882045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005655.4%31 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under78c146.3$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1818435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Over22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3028326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x492f…bc51backed Over61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802564%16 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under44c128$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1211759.8%70 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97a3…a3fabacked Under79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Over59c120$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.86555.4%36 W · 29 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under75c118.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf21b…c816backed Over21c118.24$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.831936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under79c117$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.571,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7960…fe2abacked Over62c111.45$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.16065%39 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed Under74c108.11$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1116861.3%103 W · 65 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b1…d4d4backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5910540%42 W · 63 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Over20c98.15$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6324840.3%100 W · 148 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over57c96.49$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5547935.1%168 W · 311 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under64c94.87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.041,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under69c94.29$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2110942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over21c90.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2333…88f8backed Over21c84.52$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.751414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-51.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under79c84.26$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.5184844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…202abacked Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506167.2%41 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055153%292 W · 259 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e67…8831backed Under76c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over38c78.41$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.764544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over49c75.51$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3716547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under46c69.3$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4210851.9%56 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Under79c63.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2927767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over61c61.13$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.297646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6115257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.