Fifa International · resolved market
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83d76e66110a4fb197a022638f24e4fa9f32fadc92094c00f950c1b87c5d0188
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,962
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 9c | 5,752$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.68 | 592 | 30.1%178 W · 414 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 3,509$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Over | 11c | 3,113$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.87 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 79c | 2,539$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.38 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 9c | 2,190$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 14c | 1,176$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 9c | 968.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 9c | 876.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 868.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over | 14c | 724.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4953…bd5ebacked Over | 11c | 524.09$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 9c | 276.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe462…e436backed Over | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 19.2%44 W · 185 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 8c | 181.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 23c | 173.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over | 8c | 137.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Under | 80c | 130$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…89ebbacked Over | 20c | 81.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff57…1802backed Over | 20c | 71.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db1…d2bebacked Over | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4023…5746backed Over | 17c | 62.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Peru vs. Spain: O/U 5.5this page
- Peru vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Peru vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
- Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
- Peru vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Over won
- Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Over won
- Peru vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Peru (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Peru (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Peru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.