TailMyPicks
Market

Fifa International · resolved market

Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,434
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,434 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over39c23,988$9,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,690.9559230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under41c17,611$7,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,284.8712146.3%56 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over57c6,497$3,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,768.772,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c4,379$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,667.852,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under46c4,098$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over60c2,442$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under51c2,352$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,197.2561750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Over44c2,196$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.849440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under61c2,160$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.2484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under62c2,046$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.522,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over59c1,959$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…76debacked Under62c1,896$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.68949.4%44 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over40c1,763$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.745428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c1,698$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.783,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Under64c1,553$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010956.9%62 W · 47 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Under12c1,523$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7533843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c1,255$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Under56c1,200$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67837451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d0…8814backed Over40c1,150$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6903873.7%28 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Under61c917$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.3710441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c824.08$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.214,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Under61c800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48822041.4%91 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under60c749.99$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9914564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under52c694.67$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.713351.1%68 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under17c668.18$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.9823645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8aa…a3c7backed Over75c662.71$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under53c644$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.325141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over56c628.9$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30624626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Under53c558.54$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under61c548.87$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.573,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under62c483.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over36c446.5$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.8725865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x7ab0…96c3backed Under26c415.58$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Under62c413.23$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.211065.5%72 W · 38 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over44c376.62$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9434330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over39c374.9$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6929138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under61c373.15$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.621,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under32c344.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5519946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over38c343.16$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.761,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over43c338.79$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1136250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under37c316.53$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1943737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under61c312$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7818435.3%65 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f6…ee3ebacked Under65c308.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002045%9 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under62c300.71$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4441857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over38c274.85$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.1328964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Over74c270$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.29653.1%51 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under61c264.6$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over38c263.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1619746.2%91 W · 106 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over51c250$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.511042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.913345.1%60 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over38c211.99$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4313643.4%59 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05b…3c59backed Over59c209.47$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8816547.9%79 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over36c209.15$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8735658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under55c207.16$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5537650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under61c205.28$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.788,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under42c193.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.951,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over40c191.54$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.9343826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under62c180.11$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5248152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…f579backed Over49c161.73$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.48771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+34.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x162f…4ee0backed Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004050%20 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7210…521fbacked Over65c160$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568158%47 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2e…6da4backed Under63c153.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.997954.4%43 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Under54c148.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8024849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under61c147$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.672,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Over56c142.42$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7638745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05c…ade7backed Over39c133.28$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.986564.6%42 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over38c132.39$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.089456.4%53 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over76c130.35$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3531747.6%151 W · 166 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under23c129.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over39c126.92$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9282340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over38c125.7$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Over39c125.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.647237.5%27 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under62c120.06$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Under50c119.41$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Over45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1152441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49fa…4575backed Over38c105.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.217245.8%33 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Under57c103.86$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5913941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x431e…5079backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Over47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5313850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under51c98.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7290840.9%371 W · 537 L-64.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Over38c98.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8319742.6%84 W · 113 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d0…0736backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9131543.5%137 W · 178 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over39c89.74$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7466745%300 W · 367 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over39c89.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.527545.3%34 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over39c84.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.381,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under20c83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.422,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e73…9150backed Under62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d58…1df8backed Under62c79.6$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.352564%16 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Under63c79.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.252,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over61c69.89$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Under30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa29…9ce5backed Under63c64.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3917148.5%83 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over40c62.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7818827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.551045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19d8…965abacked Under56c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.412252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over41c58.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.545942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.