TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Peruof Spain, Peru
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,721
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,721 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Spain45c5,122$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.642,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Peru52c3,883$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,868.644,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Spain40c3,728$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.7511346%52 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Peru60c2,494$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.611,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Spain39c2,000$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.4715150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Peru61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.9943248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…4decbacked Spain70c1,745$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.7310142.6%43 W · 58 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Spain41c1,735$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70513843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked Peru62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.95863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Peru63c1,598$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.0713544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Spain45c950.75$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.8826459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Peru61c735.9$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28761750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Peru62c600$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22867354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Peru60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24037451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Spain39c565.18$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.781,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Spain39c518.05$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Peru61c501.66$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.6576551.6%395 W · 370 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Spain42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010748.6%52 W · 55 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Spain38c481.01$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.782,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed Spain46c448.26$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.263729.7%11 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Spain65c436.36$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.8128042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Peru48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.672646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+34.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b4d…01c3backed Peru57c350.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.992142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Peru60c347.22$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.891,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Peru55c332.69$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.124,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4b7…3267backed Peru46c310.19$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.527058.1%157 W · 113 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Spain40c299.99$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.21,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Spain56c283.61$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1521946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Peru46c283.57$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1334330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc46…a4f8backed Peru64c281.25$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.254660.9%28 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Peru14c249.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.572,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Peru60c240$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.223453%124 W · 110 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Peru61c200.19$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.93,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Spain36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7212544%55 W · 70 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce72…cbefbacked Peru63c175$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.759052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88ed…8300backed Spain38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d17…0d91backed Peru61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3c1…13cabacked Peru62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291693.8%15 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.29per pick65cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Peru64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.255843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26f2…1761backed Peru49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7613850.7%70 W · 68 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Peru61c149.6$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.641857.9%242 W · 176 L+14.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Peru50c148$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc12c…cdfbbacked Peru62c133.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-53.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Peru60c132.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.918,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Peru61c131.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.239951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Spain38c130.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Peru62c125.72$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.848152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Peru60c125$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5081554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x943b…e35ebacked Peru40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754825%12 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Peru36c100.79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…9150backed Peru60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Spain43c94.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.712,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Peru68c91$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1212856.3%72 W · 56 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Spain64c90$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5815059.3%89 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Peru62c81.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Spain39c79.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0241344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Spain39c76.26$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.745939%23 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Spain40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Peru60c71.6$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6411745.3%53 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Peru56c71.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.268766.7%58 W · 29 L+12.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+31.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Peru62c71.21$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0636543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Peru62c67.2$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.546358.7%37 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Spain39c66.11$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6323743.9%104 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Spain39c61.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.163151.5%325 W · 306 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Peru60c56.64$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6635619.4%69 W · 287 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Spain41c53.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2211644.8%52 W · 64 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Peru61c52.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.572,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Peru60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Spain40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018947.6%90 W · 99 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Spain38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1982340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Peru63c49.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.3283153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Peru61c49.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.188572.9%62 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Peru64c46.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8839752.1%207 W · 190 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Spain49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.618444.6%82 W · 102 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked Spain36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Spain53c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0538745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Peru51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.624837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed6…2322backed Peru64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.069244.6%41 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd87a…4e56backed Peru59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…81fdbacked Peru61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb482…e138backed Peru61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.796440.6%26 W · 38 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Peru32c32.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.246251.6%32 W · 30 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf350…700abacked Peru62c32.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.293132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc846…c413backed Spain36c30.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1626631.2%83 W · 183 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Spain47c30.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0260752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Spain50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1519540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23e2…9ecdbacked Peru41c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.712636.5%46 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Peru50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1524257.9%140 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Peru61c28.41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Spain40c27.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114544.4%20 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0db1…d2bebacked Spain40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-14.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Spain40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ac5…d1f9backed Spain40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017647.7%84 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Peru62c22.16$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4636045.3%163 W · 197 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x541e…b57abacked Peru59c22$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.028348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf314…bad3backed Spain46c21.97$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa402…d14bbacked Peru59c20.42$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3714653.4%78 W · 68 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xce83…9878backed Peru62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…ad68backed Spain62c19.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2617154.4%93 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.