TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,453

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes45c25,715$11,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,143.215843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed No55c11,111$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,111.057545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Yes48c9,316$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,816.312254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e3…29ebbacked No55c8,887$4,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,888.0713163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes43c6,143$2,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,498.312,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked No58c5,429$3,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,131.8827520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No42c4,368$1,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.594,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No55c4,250$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.524058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No52c3,333$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,733.1614325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No54c3,003$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.67337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No6c2,965$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.672,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No55c2,603$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.42,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Yes47c2,357$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.6629018.6%54 W · 236 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10022229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9929250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No53c2,000$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.9712945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Yes44c1,891$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.015349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No55c1,651$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.621,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a0…ef1dbacked No57c1,651$941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.84825%2 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-55.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes43c1,580$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.222,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No20c1,518$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.832,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Yes50c1,513$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.510051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes45c1,280$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$706.081,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No54c1,241$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.0647032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No50c1,193$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.6859752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes35c1,047$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.121,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20523.8%2 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Yes42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58018248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Yes42c970$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.610247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed No58c910.62$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5112542.4%53 W · 72 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No55c874.98$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30da…a11dbacked Yes45c777.78$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7827820.1%56 W · 222 L-17.2wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes41c770.62$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.6611256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcfac…bc1cbacked Yes35c700$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4556222.6%14 W · 48 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No55c689.3$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.1236250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6725532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Yes45c666.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6713447.8%64 W · 70 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No13c646.9$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1151429.4%151 W · 363 L-46.1wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-51.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked No56c638$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.2858530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes45c599.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9915448.7%75 W · 79 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Yes45c555$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.259040%36 W · 54 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes39c554$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.9436123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked No58c520$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.8869826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709767%65 W · 32 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2704528.9%13 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd61f…c6a6backed No53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26512875.8%97 W · 31 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked Yes42c485$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.37945.6%36 W · 43 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c476.73$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.798,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No55c473.51$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.343,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No54c473.04$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c8…942dbacked Yes45c445$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.754946.9%23 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd73…4da1backed Yes45c444.44$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.4419713.7%27 W · 170 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No19c437.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7880225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yes48c424.53$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.7617042.4%72 W · 98 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes45c386.57$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.573831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Yes43c372.09$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.0921133.2%70 W · 141 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked No56c365.66$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7710549.5%52 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x152d…1b20backed No56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008955.1%49 W · 40 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed No59c340.42$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2578317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Yes45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3337223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3313268.2%90 W · 42 L+20.0wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+25.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…1a38backed No52c294.23$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.363554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes45c288.89$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8914052.1%73 W · 67 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e67…8831backed Yes45c280$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb361…808ebacked No53c273.67$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.058652.3%45 W · 41 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Yes45c266.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.679017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6600…d5fdbacked Yes48c250$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1308363.9%53 W · 30 L+11.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No23c246.46$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.732,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf77b…e31dbacked Yes45c244.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.441838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5619938.2%76 W · 123 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2243246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22818.6%7 W · 74 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+53.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2214852.7%78 W · 70 L+10.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37d9…5442backed Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2231435.7%112 W · 202 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f0…7bf4backed Yes45c208.89$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8910646.2%49 W · 57 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11428873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa599…9176backed No52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10415177.5%117 W · 34 L+13.1wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed No55c197.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8915648.1%75 W · 81 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes45c176$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.834751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x609e…623cbacked Yes47c170.43$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.434551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No55c167.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6737526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9041…ddbabacked Yes47c146.11$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1111338.9%44 W · 69 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x230a…51e1backed Yes45c141.67$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c27…6390backed Yes47c140.94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.71442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes45c133.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.339144%40 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.436233.9%21 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed No54c124.98$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4939951.6%206 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Yes48c124.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6423443.6%102 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked Yes43c116.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9922851.8%118 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked No57c113.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0187938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No9c112$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.081,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cce…2ff1backed Yes44c111.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.361833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x862e…7972backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.117342.5%31 W · 42 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1134537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1117345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x940e…058abacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.119259.8%55 W · 37 L+9.1wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.