Fifa International · resolved market
Folarin Balogun: 2+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0645787f89059b7ea37f25f53159a5394ccf9bee8994a58b1be88e9d5fd2ddf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 4,104$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.44 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 14c | 4,020$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.84 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…9499backed Yes | 39c | 3,757$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.11 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 12c | 1,813$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.14 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd2…0381backed Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 144 | 28.5%41 W · 103 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 61c | 1,552$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.78 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 14c | 1,250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed No | 68c | 993.66$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.72 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Yes | 37c | 796.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…4da1backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 13.7%27 W · 170 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 28c | 622.84$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.11 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…bc1cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 373.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 34c | 355.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 13c | 323.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 67c | 312.73$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.06 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4751…c559backed Yes | 37c | 297.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…5984backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 196 | 18.4%36 W · 160 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe369…0515backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 18c | 175.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4029…c8b3backed Yes | 14c | 173.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776a…5349backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2397…55bcbacked Yes | 15c | 161.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 14c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…3e06backed Yes | 14c | 157.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…2c32backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bc…6e87backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 8.6%7 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ee…0d0ebacked Yes | 13c | 136.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 13c | 130.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…2a42backed Yes | 42c | 89$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 404 | 35.6%144 W · 260 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7ecebacked Yes | 18c | 84.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e14…fd73backed Yes | 23c | 57.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 35c | 56.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 62c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…41adbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 75c | 42.5$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…218abacked Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 65c | 29.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 198 | 62.1%123 W · 75 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ goalsthis page
- Alejandro Zendejas: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alejandro Zendejas: 3+ goalsNo won
- Alejandro Zendejas: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Brenden Aaronson: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ assistsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 2+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ goalsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 3+ shotsNo won
- Christian Pulisic: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 1+ assistsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 1+ goalsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 2+ goalsNo won
- Edin Džeko: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 1+ goalsYes won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ assistsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 2+ shotsYes won
- Folarin Balogun: 3+ goalsNo won
- Folarin Balogun: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 1+ assistsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gio Reyna: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Haji Wright: 3+ goalsNo won
- Haji Wright: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 3+ shotsNo won
- Kerim Alajbegović: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ assistsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 1+ goalsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 2+ assistsNo won
- Malik Tillman: 2+ shotsYes won
- Malik Tillman: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Ricardo Pepi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ricardo Pepi: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Sebastian Berhalter: 3+ goalsNo won
- Sebastian Berhalter: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Tim Weah: 1+ goalsNo won
- Tim Weah: 3+ goalsNo won
- Tim Weah: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 1+ goalsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 2+ assistsNo won
- Weston McKennie: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.