NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdc71540d1de619b50207fc5810e920e5c5942975e485358628083df4c85a3d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $978,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,053,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $978,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 449 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Red Wings | 44c | 255,657$111,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,926.8 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Avalanche | 57c | 115,588$66,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,212.12 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 43c | 87,481$37,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,422.91 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche | 56c | 75,023$42,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,011.23 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Avalanche | 56c | 59,014$33,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,966.28 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 56c | 55,160$30,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,178.66 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 44c | 53,782$23,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,664.21 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…5e96backed Red Wings | 43c | 41,400$17,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,698 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd68…90efbacked Avalanche | 57c | 41,400$23,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,698 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Avalanche | 57c | 35,991$20,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,485.85 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ea…bb01backed Red Wings | 43c | 35,000$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Avalanche | 59c | 32,739$19,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,422.98 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Avalanche | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,599.97 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Avalanche | 55c | 28,162$15,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,594.69 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Red Wings | 42c | 26,556$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200.19 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 24,883$14,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,781.95 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Wings | 43c | 21,891$9,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,320.8 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Red Wings | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,199.91 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Avalanche | 56c | 18,888$10,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,310.72 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Avalanche | 57c | 14,035$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,035.09 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Avalanche | 57c | 13,202$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,612.06 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Red Wings | 43c | 13,000$5,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,619.96 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 43c | 12,890$5,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,478.86 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 56c | 9,999$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,399.77 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Red Wings | 42c | 8,284$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.99 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Avalanche | 57c | 7,880$4,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,388.51 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Red Wings | 43c | 7,552$3,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,247.51 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Red Wings | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Red Wings | 43c | 6,500$2,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Avalanche | 57c | 6,249$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.12 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Red Wings | 0c | 6,155$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 250 | 4.8%12 W · 238 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Avalanche | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Red Wings | 45c | 5,587$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.97 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Avalanche | 57c | 5,297$3,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.77 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings | 41c | 5,020$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Red Wings | 41c | 5,009$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.61 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Avalanche | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Avalanche | 57c | 5,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Red Wings | 14c | 5,000$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.33 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Avalanche | 56c | 4,263$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.74 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Avalanche | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 400 | 49.3%197 W · 203 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked Red Wings | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.99 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Avalanche | 56c | 3,640$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.6 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Avalanche | 57c | 3,510$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.3 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Red Wings | 42c | 3,476$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Avalanche | 56c | 3,392$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.68 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Avalanche | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.19 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 41c | 3,093$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.65 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 57c | 3,093$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.08 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Avalanche | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Red Wings | 1c | 2,578$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings | 33c | 2,392$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.53 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,380$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,370$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.8 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche | 56c | 2,335$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.79 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,300$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.97 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.02 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,120$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.96 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,066$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.7 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,064$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.52 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Avalanche | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Avalanche | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Red Wings | 44c | 2,000$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3383…c5c0backed Red Wings | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f85…bd8cbacked Avalanche | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings | 2c | 1,896$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,857$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.14 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…aa21backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,741$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…deb1backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,621$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.82 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Wings | 19c | 1,589$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.09 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,573$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.43 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6127backed Red Wings | 2c | 1,546$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Red Wings | 14c | 1,520$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.09 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Avalanche | 56c | 1,518$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.86 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,500$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.48 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Avalanche | 63c | 1,500$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Red Wings | 37c | 1,482$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.17 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,467$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.99 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,373$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,323$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.98 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,200$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Red Wings | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,178$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.08 | 265 | 47.5%126 W · 139 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Red Wings | 2c | 1,175$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 31.8%49 W · 105 L | -12.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Red Wings | 44c | 1,140$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0d…e46ebacked Avalanche | 59c | 1,129$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,100$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Red Wings | 42c | 1,082$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.59 | 266 | 57.1%152 W · 114 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,050$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Avalanche | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8c…93cdbacked Avalanche | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…f8e1backed Avalanche | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Avalanche vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Avalanche vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Avalanche won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.