TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nets vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Nets, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$149,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$164,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Spurs66c11,526$7,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.9433931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Nets30c9,248$2,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,744.1434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Nets0c5,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Nets40c5,056$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Nets30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Spurs60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.981,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Spurs70c4,264$2,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.0529738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Nets3c4,189$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4420851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Spurs54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84030443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Nets35c3,766$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.5247656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Nets40c3,484$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.6428241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Nets10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30031935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets1c2,746$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.941,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs62c2,670$1,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.781,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs61c2,392$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.7336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets1c2,155$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.87502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Nets1c2,153$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.185502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs60c2,013$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.3550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938c…d5e5backed Nets41c2,003$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.2315237.5%57 W · 95 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nets38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9896447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Nets1c1,424$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171088.3%9 W · 99 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Nets43c1,400$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60636843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc4…cae6backed Nets39c1,305$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.831050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Nets2c1,300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Nets38c1,200$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4531,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eaa…44eebacked Nets41c1,119$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Spurs59c1,089$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.647229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc959…4937backed Spurs61c1,060$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Spurs59c1,030$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.32352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85c1…92aebacked Spurs61c1,020$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Spurs57c1,000$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42529747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Nets39c990.6$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.331,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Nets2c983.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.537011.4%42 W · 328 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs62c947.95$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.1270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Spurs62c942.64$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.6419944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets38c799.97$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.9946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Spurs67c749.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.2527163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Spurs61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7412759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6094…3bd9backed Spurs62c645.16$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.168536.5%31 W · 54 L+8.8wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+61.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Nets40c622.18$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.8710246.1%47 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Spurs65c576.09$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets14c559.98$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.028783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Spurs63c536.51$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.5117943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs77c512.25$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.845,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d21…d7cdbacked Nets40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc4…63febacked Spurs62c496.77$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.77966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15285542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Nets22c395$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6513133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets38c395$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.12,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Spurs61c388$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3210042%42 W · 58 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x368e…ff5abacked Nets40c365$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Spurs72c361.11$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1126934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Spurs59c359.16$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe055…8350backed Nets40c358$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…f90abacked Nets40c356.95$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80c7…6591backed Nets40c348$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e87…a5b0backed Nets38c341.5$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.774548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…df62backed Nets40c337.8$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c87…3f9ebacked Nets40c332.88$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Spurs61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8713959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Spurs61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8712659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba7…f213backed Nets40c316.25$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.53868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+22.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Nets41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Nets35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10530351.8%157 W · 146 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Spurs62c300$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11424855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…a099backed Nets5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15387.9%3 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-83.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1385…7097backed Nets39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1173324.2%8 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs62c286$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c7…1db7backed Spurs59c271.27$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.221060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets39c258.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e82…6060backed Nets39c258.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.052958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nets40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb22d…4712backed Nets40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Nets24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Nets40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed Spurs62c246.94$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.844755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Nets41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Spurs62c242.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.528949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs62c241.07$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.211,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3e…b775backed Spurs62c233.69$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.84557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41fe…7c75backed Spurs63c205$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa761…990ebacked Spurs62c204.4$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.963971.8%28 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs56c200$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8768642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Spurs40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12014041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Nets15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Nets39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7861345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc89f…5ea7backed Spurs63c185.11$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.493850%19 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf619…2a38backed Nets38c180$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-41.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64fa…380fbacked Nets39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012547.2%59 W · 66 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2cd…37a1backed Spurs59c177.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.971877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+27.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91e6…a514backed Spurs60c174.65$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.861662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb84d…f5ffbacked Spurs60c173.9$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.561553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3217…2dcebacked Spurs62c171.61$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.213565.7%23 W · 12 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc682…7c9ebacked Spurs63c171.4$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.424353.5%23 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee1b…5d2cbacked Spurs60c171.15$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.461338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.