MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15fa33a5b2045af7bcea6d88a22e7bff42bd9e059d7b1513100340f856b99cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Mariners, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,518,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,625,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,518,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,057 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d9…5ee1backed Mariners | 46c | 1,087,193$500,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500,108.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Blue Jays | 55c | 289,098$158,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130,112.21 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Mariners | 50c | 244,252$122,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,181.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Blue Jays | 54c | 218,512$117,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,700.72 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Blue Jays | 54c | 197,978$106,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,069.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 157,066$84,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,331.05 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners | 37c | 150,000$55,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,499.91 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Mariners | 46c | 125,924$57,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,925.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fce…2229backed Mariners | 48c | 124,476$59,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,634.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Blue Jays | 48c | 104,875$49,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,954.5 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blue Jays | 53c | 85,025$44,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,310.85 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Mariners | 46c | 68,450$31,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,486.87 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Blue Jays | 54c | 68,151$36,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,349.46 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mariners | 44c | 67,568$29,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,605.82 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 65,931$35,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,328.26 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 21c | 58,769$12,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,383.33 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Mariners | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 54c | 40,059$21,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,527.47 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 34,912$18,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,712.76 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 33,488$17,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,902.43 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Blue Jays | 53c | 33,000$17,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,400 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 49c | 30,564$14,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,874.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Blue Jays | 54c | 30,028$16,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,812.75 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Blue Jays | 55c | 27,273$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,272.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Blue Jays | 59c | 23,750$14,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,639.31 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34de…bd88backed Mariners | 47c | 21,400$9,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,991 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Blue Jays | 33c | 20,900$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,009.96 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Blue Jays | 54c | 20,284$10,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,330.52 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 54c | 20,000$10,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,200 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Blue Jays | 53c | 19,630$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,129.63 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Blue Jays | 51c | 19,613$10,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,610.33 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.42per pick | 46cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Blue Jays | 52c | 19,246$10,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,240.15 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Blue Jays | 54c | 18,681$10,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,593.28 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 18,642$10,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,575.49 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Blue Jays | 55c | 18,091$9,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,170.91 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 47c | 18,017$8,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,472.82 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Blue Jays | 54c | 17,360$9,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,985.6 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…d1c4backed Blue Jays | 51c | 15,722$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,725.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 15,342$8,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,057.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 14,582$8,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,561.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Mariners | 46c | 14,565$6,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Blue Jays | 52c | 14,429$7,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,859.04 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Mariners | 46c | 14,409$6,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,627.97 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners | 44c | 14,138$6,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,207.47 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Blue Jays | 23c | 13,740$3,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,593.03 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…5014backed Blue Jays | 75c | 13,500$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.99 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 13,148$7,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.31 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 12,514$6,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,631.14 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Blue Jays | 55c | 12,394$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,526.59 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa068…9574backed Blue Jays | 54c | 12,338$6,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Blue Jays | 52c | 11,971$6,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,796.9 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x236e…fd59backed Mariners | 46c | 11,954$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9489…27debacked Mariners | 46c | 11,900$5,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,474 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…3f8ebacked Mariners | 46c | 11,800$5,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,427.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Mariners | 50c | 11,700$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…62b5backed Blue Jays | 43c | 11,589$4,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,595.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c9…ab6fbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 10,900$5,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,905 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…9f0ebacked Blue Jays | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.98 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Blue Jays | 55c | 9,644$5,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,304.14 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…8a64backed Blue Jays | 37c | 9,615$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blue Jays | 54c | 9,259$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,259.26 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa8…d618backed Blue Jays | 55c | 9,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 53c | 9,093$4,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,315.83 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 8,888$5,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.35 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 46c | 8,752$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,761.56 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb530…4422backed Mariners | 46c | 8,700$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 54c | 8,460$4,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.6 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c3…9962backed Blue Jays | 38c | 8,099$3,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,014.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…b789backed Mariners | 46c | 8,000$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,680 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Mariners | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a5…312ebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 7,410$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.94 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…f985backed Blue Jays | 54c | 7,400$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cf…0e3ebacked Blue Jays | 54c | 7,400$3,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays | 54c | 6,956$3,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.61 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Blue Jays | 43c | 6,930$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.12 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…bdafbacked Mariners | 26c | 6,750$1,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,725.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Blue Jays | 23c | 6,530$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,030.36 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Blue Jays | 54c | 6,481$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Blue Jays | 53c | 6,120$3,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.53 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Mariners | 47c | 6,100$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…4637backed Blue Jays | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Mariners | 4c | 6,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 13cpaid | +254.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…b5a6backed Blue Jays | 55c | 5,980$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fd…829abacked Blue Jays | 54c | 5,912$3,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ec…44e1backed Mariners | 46c | 5,679$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8302…806ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 5,421$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.03 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Blue Jays | 21c | 5,230$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,132.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5248…aabbbacked Blue Jays | 53c | 5,222$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,451 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Blue Jays | 54c | 5,032$2,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,314.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blue Jays | 54c | 5,009$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.29 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Mariners | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Blue Jays | 54c | 4,900$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,254 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf166…b79abacked Blue Jays | 53c | 4,717$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…d730backed Mariners | 57c | 4,654$2,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.93 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays | 51c | 4,637$2,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,262.76 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 4,548$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,278.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7449…65ebbacked Mariners | 10c | 4,520$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.