AI · resolved market
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb891bdbef2a34ef407947c3ae290ac26da774c6e6d2f5e70445e89fad606eab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $790,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $772,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $790,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7230…552ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,948$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 74c | 7,414$5,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.39 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…1629backed Yes | 5c | 5,008$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…cb44backed Yes | 4c | 4,592$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…855cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,330$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…fab9backed Yes | 1c | 4,283$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 26c | 4,230$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.13 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 9c | 3,797$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.3 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a7…7dc5backed Yes | 3c | 3,172$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b3…6ed0backed Yes | 16c | 3,085$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702c…bd94backed Yes | 3c | 3,015$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…767fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,999$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 5c | 2,962$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.1 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe161…1c0ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,909$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…0ec7backed Yes | 3c | 2,899$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea8…6d0bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,858$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x950a…fca5backed Yes | 27c | 2,795$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…eb04backed Yes | 3c | 2,684$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d070backed Yes | 3c | 2,605$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…da58backed Yes | 3c | 2,586$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818a…7220backed Yes | 3c | 2,468$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…474ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,449$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3400…2f8bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,403$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b80…481abacked Yes | 3c | 2,379$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f3…d05dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,329$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52db…1d1cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,301$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…ab95backed Yes | 3c | 2,251$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…e635backed Yes | 3c | 2,237$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b78…1476backed Yes | 3c | 2,211$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…8f41backed Yes | 3c | 2,149$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…0bd8backed Yes | 3c | 2,133$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6784…97cebacked Yes | 4c | 2,110$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 25c | 2,088$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.12 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 16c | 2,036$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.76 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +123%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x87eb…582fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,028$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…a40fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,009$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,997$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked No | 73c | 1,922$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.86 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -65%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8e…39b0backed Yes | 13c | 1,920$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…58bcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,909$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c09abacked Yes | 3c | 1,853$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e43…00d8backed Yes | 3c | 1,836$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2af…3222backed Yes | 3c | 1,817$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x657d…143dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,796$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…aaacbacked Yes | 3c | 1,791$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb5…e5cabacked Yes | 3c | 1,790$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…5dcfbacked Yes | 3c | 1,788$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd598…782fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,773$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98c0…80e0backed Yes | 3c | 1,771$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…843ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,760$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae62…15fcbacked Yes | 3c | 1,740$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…1834backed Yes | 4c | 1,739$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…3d15backed Yes | 3c | 1,737$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…85dabacked Yes | 3c | 1,734$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e7…819dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,717$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…56d9backed Yes | 3c | 1,701$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…3c37backed Yes | 3c | 1,674$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…8155backed Yes | 3c | 1,669$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…76ddbacked Yes | 4c | 1,660$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…3a03backed Yes | 4c | 1,644$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…d3c5backed Yes | 32c | 1,640$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c41…08c2backed Yes | 4c | 1,636$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be8…46bebacked Yes | 3c | 1,632$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…ef6fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,625$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…b556backed Yes | 3c | 1,621$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…4baebacked Yes | 3c | 1,602$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d76…d7a0backed No | 69c | 1,575$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3438…26e8backed Yes | 3c | 1,550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…3fe5backed Yes | 20c | 1,545$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 4c | 1,542$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9749…a63abacked Yes | 2c | 1,541$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f7…6062backed Yes | 3c | 1,534$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd701…fa6dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,528$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…7060backed Yes | 4c | 1,498$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…9bd8backed Yes | 4c | 1,458$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa654…4431backed Yes | 3c | 1,456$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…aaf9backed Yes | 3c | 1,442$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6830…d484backed Yes | 2c | 1,432$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…0286backed Yes | 7c | 1,431$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 4c | 1,423$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…56ecbacked Yes | 4c | 1,410$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa167…5380backed Yes | 3c | 1,383$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…8dbdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,383$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…7228backed Yes | 7c | 1,370$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…204abacked Yes | 3c | 1,357$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…2b01backed Yes | 4c | 1,347$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3d…222fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,338$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…661abacked Yes | 2c | 1,333$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…5f03backed Yes | 3c | 1,333$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…402abacked Yes | 3c | 1,323$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…6e84backed Yes | 8c | 1,319$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce2…ee1cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,311$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9f…b921backed Yes | 15c | 1,309$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8de…e902backed Yes | 3c | 1,269$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10bf…fa7fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,256$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…d8d5backed Yes | 3c | 1,248$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…4baebacked Yes | 3c | 1,233$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…b171backed Yes | 3c | 1,231$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?this page
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $710b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.