AI · resolved market
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd147bb90426137d7e6d1d4715479f71e66fe836ea737af4f87807e73c9c35d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 39c | 6,827$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,197.54 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 9c | 3,080$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,813.68 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e17…5aacbacked Yes | 52c | 2,234$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 35c | 1,802$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.39 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 13c | 1,433$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.85 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 23c | 1,243$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.04 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f21…0041backed Yes | 17c | 1,149$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +187.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe155…45afbacked No | 2c | 1,080$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62de…e70bbacked Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5015…0d03backed Yes | 16c | 885.14$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcde0…d27cbacked Yes | 12c | 781.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +319%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 25c | 775.64$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…e82fbacked Yes | 22c | 759.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Yes | 15c | 723.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +578.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…583fbacked No | 3c | 578.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…e856backed Yes | 35c | 548.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +86%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked Yes | 12c | 539.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.49 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 78c | 531$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked Yes | 22c | 531$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 73c | 523.9$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.94 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 44c | 473.22$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 7c | 444.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.07 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…b029backed Yes | 15c | 429.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 8c | 399.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.97 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 25cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 16c | 398.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.21 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…ca41backed Yes | 15c | 324.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.19 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7676…7b51backed Yes | 34c | 294.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +196.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 8c | 269.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.12 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 75c | 265.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…8ffabacked Yes | 20c | 253.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0524…43cdbacked Yes | 12c | 240.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +702.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 9c | 238.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…7f7fbacked Yes | 24c | 236.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +313.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…717ebacked Yes | 10c | 219.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +376.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…7adcbacked Yes | 8c | 214.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,093.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ac…ca76backed No | 70c | 211.26$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed Yes | 10c | 210.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1778…6052backed Yes | 26c | 194.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +288.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked Yes | 26c | 192.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +86%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5039…51ccbacked Yes | 55c | 192.31$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ce…1da9backed Yes | 20c | 184.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…7c93backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974c…cf6abacked Yes | 28c | 179.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +258.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…36b4backed Yes | 29c | 177.34$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +252.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27bc…6275backed Yes | 41c | 170.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 163.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.59 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 14c | 161.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 156.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.2 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Yes | 31c | 150.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…648ebacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 146.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 16c | 133.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…019fbacked Yes | 16c | 130$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…4b79backed Yes | 21c | 124.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 21c | 122.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ef…3039backed Yes | 11c | 120.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +363.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f92…db0dbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.89per pick | 11cpaid | +809.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…dee9backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.28 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8361…c592backed Yes | 25c | 93.41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 77c | 89.82$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 69c | 88.17$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1819…9ec0backed Yes | 15c | 87.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +236.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 43c | 86.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 84.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.05 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb2…745abacked Yes | 16c | 83.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b4…d45dbacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 42c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a07…35b2backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 16c | 71.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 18c | 71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76e1…6935backed Yes | 72c | 69.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 67.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2997…cf48backed Yes | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…c914backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…70d7backed No | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…6efbbacked Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ed…ac9cbacked No | 73c | 41.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 34.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…01c9backed No | 66c | 33.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…045dbacked No | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf23f…8806backed Yes | 74c | 26.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…727bbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff6…db55backed No | 78c | 22.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…26a1backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…a173backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…44b9backed No | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 74c | 17.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…e701backed No | 61c | 17.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0245…efd6backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe0…192abacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…510dbacked No | 79c | 14.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 79cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?this page
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $710b on March 31?No won
- Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.