NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Bulls

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ef8663271009d0155ef5948a9a0116520857bc6bf11b77b472ff028c0d9b38f

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bullsof Jazz, Bulls
Resolved: Jan 15, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,469,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,518,787

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,469,274 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,783 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcd9b…414dbacked Bulls	63c	260,583$164,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,015.3	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Bulls	66c	132,367$87,362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45,004.61	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Bulls	60c	130,054$78,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,003.42	363	59.8%217 W · 146 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Jazz	34c	122,635$41,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41,695.95	545	39.6%216 W · 329 L	-28.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Jazz	33c	84,760$28,271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,270.77	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz	38c	76,350$28,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,981.44	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bulls	67c	63,320$42,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,895.66	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	36c	51,108$18,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,568.5	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Bulls	60c	50,644$30,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,405.68	596	46.1%275 W · 321 L	-16.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x927a…f706backed Jazz	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	241	39%94 W · 147 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz	24c	46,685$11,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,326.14	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz	17c	41,713$7,209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,209.44	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x66cc…7135backed Bulls	62c	40,000$24,712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,288.11	212	50.5%107 W · 105 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz	39c	36,999$14,410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,409.69	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	35c	30,728$10,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,786.82	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Bulls	62c	28,480$17,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,830.18	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Jazz	35c	24,391$8,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,536.78	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Jazz	36c	24,205$8,827 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,827.3	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bulls	70c	23,395$16,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,906.82	375	57.6%216 W · 159 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	34c	23,105$7,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,900.3	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8eb4…d892backed Bulls	64c	22,000$14,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,920	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Jazz	37c	21,278$7,921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,921.4	618	35.4%219 W · 399 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Jazz	35c	20,424$7,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,210.21	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Jazz	39c	20,226$7,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,940.73	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Bulls	64c	20,110$12,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,330.61	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xffa5…0c23backed Bulls	67c	18,473$12,377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,096.19	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bulls	74c	17,939$13,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,712.99	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	34c	17,500$6,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,025	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccdb…ffa9backed Bulls	65c	17,026$10,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,036.12	38	84.2%32 W · 6 L	+10.8wins	+0.29per pick	56cpaid	+59.5%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Jazz	43c	16,665$7,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,165.77	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz	34c	15,982$5,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,433.88	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Jazz	35c	15,600$5,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,460	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Bulls	64c	15,000$9,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,400	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Jazz	36c	14,999$5,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,399.64	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e7…52cabacked Jazz	36c	13,706$4,934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,934.07	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.14per pick	59cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jazz	27c	13,567$3,723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,723.19	2,630	36.7%966 W · 1,664 L	-119.1wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Jazz	43c	13,446$5,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,781.8	196	53.6%105 W · 91 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Jazz	2c	11,396$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.95	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Jazz	37c	10,984$4,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,066.78	399	58.4%233 W · 166 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Bulls	66c	10,781$7,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,704.75	346	54%187 W · 159 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	37c	10,715$3,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,968.53	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cde…8833backed Jazz	19c	10,400$1,976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz	28c	10,072$2,842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,842.13	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Jazz	36c	10,050$3,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,617.98	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Jazz	36c	10,032$3,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,611.08	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	35c	10,029$3,547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,547.38	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Jazz	37c	10,000$3,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,700	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Bulls	63c	10,000$6,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,699.98	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bulls	70c	9,841$6,843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,998.22	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz	37c	9,528$3,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,479.54	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Jazz	43c	9,505$4,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,087.33	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Jazz	32c	9,402$3,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,034.71	278	65.8%183 W · 95 L	+25.4wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfaba…51debacked Jazz	34c	9,138$3,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,147.85	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9333…3fa5backed Jazz	30c	9,131$2,708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,708.1	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Bulls	67c	9,004$6,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,965.49	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz	30c	8,967$2,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,699.08	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Jazz	35c	8,814$3,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,085	443	52.4%232 W · 211 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz	39c	8,055$3,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,137.99	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x713d…53a9backed Bulls	65c	7,688$4,980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,707.5	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Bulls	61c	7,128$4,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,803.77	715	47.7%341 W · 374 L	-26.9wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jazz	42c	7,000$2,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,940	320	39.4%126 W · 194 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Bulls	65c	6,859$4,449 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,409.99	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	38c	6,413$2,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,415.56	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x832d…d420backed Jazz	33c	6,091$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	65	40%26 W · 39 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b7…4719backed Jazz	37c	6,000$2,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,220	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Bulls	58c	5,412$3,116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,295.83	267	51.7%138 W · 129 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	34c	5,050$1,717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,717	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Jazz	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,850	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Bulls	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,199.99	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba41…5f4fbacked Jazz	37c	5,000$1,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,849.99	314	45.2%142 W · 172 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cf5…6440backed Jazz	42c	5,000$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,099.87	469	28.4%133 W · 336 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xad2e…d9bdbacked Bulls	77c	4,912$3,772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140.25	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	+13%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5993…33a2backed Bulls	66c	4,890$3,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,639.49	380	46.6%177 W · 203 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5667…a084backed Bulls	63c	4,300$2,709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,591	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.30per pick	54cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Bulls	62c	4,292$2,661 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,630.88	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jazz	40c	4,200$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,680	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Jazz	33c	4,163$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.76	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Jazz	22c	4,135$910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$909.73	334	28.1%94 W · 240 L	-20.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz	12c	4,104$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.76	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4029…418cbacked Bulls	63c	4,100$2,583 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,516.98	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3107…63b9backed Bulls	78c	4,020$3,118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$902.4	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	68cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Jazz	43c	4,000$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	204	53.9%110 W · 94 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bulls	66c	4,000$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,360	433	48.5%210 W · 223 L	+11.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb28d…83e4backed Jazz	35c	4,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	42cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Bulls	59c	3,989$2,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,644.12	309	47.6%147 W · 162 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d26…1c15backed Bulls	57c	3,929$2,239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,689.37	224	59.4%133 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9b…6611backed Bulls	64c	3,906$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,406.25	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xface…2115backed Jazz	37c	3,800$1,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,406	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcad4…c108backed Bulls	61c	3,794$2,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,479.67	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Bulls	57c	3,684$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,584.21	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Bulls	56c	3,596$2,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,588.26	470	43.8%206 W · 264 L	-22.2wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jazz	42c	3,571$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa051…54ebbacked Bulls	57c	3,509$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,508.77	154	35.7%55 W · 99 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7973…34d4backed Jazz	37c	3,489$1,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,291	54	37%20 W · 34 L	-6.4wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls	64c	3,332$2,132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.45	1,316	50.5%664 W · 652 L	+42.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jazz	38c	3,164$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Jazz	35c	3,121$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	177	23.7%42 W · 135 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Bulls	62c	3,100$1,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,178	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Jazz	35c	3,087$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	258	47.3%122 W · 136 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Bulls	65c	3,071$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,071.26	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Jazz vs. Bulls

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event