TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under53c36,251$19,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,255.611,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over47c19,127$8,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,223.162,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c11,886$5,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,527.873,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under53c8,298$4,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,397.8538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over47c7,622$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,042.872,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef4…ce93backed Over49c5,600$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.98475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a06…14a3backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,600540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61d…2de5backed Over48c4,950$2,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c4,764$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,481.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a8…28abbacked Under56c4,700$2,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,632520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14ae…5745backed Under52c4,526$2,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,353.52540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9fb…387fbacked Under56c4,500$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,52050%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11bb…e782backed Over44c4,200$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Under50c4,182$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.892753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…09c4backed Over48c4,050$1,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,106650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed77…699ebacked Over48c4,014$1,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,087.28560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x579d…3a38backed Over48c3,906$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,031.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2be…097bbacked Over48c3,758$1,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,954.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under50c3,721$1,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.922,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0725…cdb1backed Over44c3,621$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.35650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over51c3,565$1,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.523,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x486c…d48dbacked Under52c3,282$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,706.64520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8b…1924backed Over48c3,127$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.04650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3a1…9596backed Under52c3,064$1,593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,593.28540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8605…5384backed Under52c3,019$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61d…87d3backed Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cfd…cfe4backed Under52c2,800$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45650%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc782…70eabacked Under51c2,582$1,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,321.591850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aef…0d0cbacked Under51c2,549$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd927…dcd7backed Under52c2,452$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,275.04560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc112…f281backed Under52c2,258$1,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…c82ebacked Under52c2,200$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,144633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e2…35bdbacked Under52c2,112$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,098.24520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cea…3ba8backed Over49c2,100$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0712142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under52c2,090$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,09050754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac20…0714backed Under52c2,019$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.88520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29d5…759ebacked Under52c1,994$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb796…27c4backed Under52c1,885$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.1560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7605…c3ddbacked Over48c1,852$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43e2…bb1bbacked Over48c1,802$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.04666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ad…5092backed Under52c1,788$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.7650%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8f43…beddbacked Over48c1,778$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a55…48f1backed Over48c1,658$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0cb…ec69backed Under52c1,650$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over45c1,605$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.952,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda83…3a35backed Under52c1,512$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc16c…8ec4backed Under56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc89e…e960backed Over44c1,450$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x407f…b34dbacked Under52c1,414$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-62.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under54c1,383$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.9666853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Under51c1,299$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.4950347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under48c1,285$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.83,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3490…7fdcbacked Over48c1,269$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.88650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1377…0445backed Under52c1,211$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.72785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+68.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbce3…946dbacked Over48c1,201$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.52425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fa8…2c4fbacked Over44c1,159$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4448…4796backed Over48c1,065$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa061…f95abacked Over48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x595c…e9afbacked Under52c999$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.48616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-66.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under58c995$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6003…2ce9backed Over48c948$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x554b…6beebacked Under52c887$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.2440%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67a1…2376backed Over48c821$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.92580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43291050.9%463 W · 447 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under63c799.76$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e1…76f1backed Over44c760$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4634…ec65backed Under56c710$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c700$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.578,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over47c614$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.162,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over41c608.91$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27ae…bf54backed Under59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35416053.1%85 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3541,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1df…16c1backed Under52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006552.3%34 W · 31 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over47c559$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.272,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a67…c54fbacked Under52c555$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25541052%213 W · 197 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over37c424.76$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.64,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f5…702abacked Under52c401$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.52633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd902…d076backed Under59c381$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.795650%28 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over46c376.09$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0954246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8914…95f0backed Under52c303$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under6c281.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9135326.6%94 W · 259 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over46c274.5$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2340146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over47c250.39$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.631,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Under57c246.14$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14023547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4006…0deabacked Over44c220$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c148.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.882,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under52c140.29$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9520456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over41c119.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.6959141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over48c83.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.421,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under51c76.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0676250.4%384 W · 378 L+3.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf8c9…753ebacked Over45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over46c64.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.631,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd851…9305backed Under58c62$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.964645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b7…35b6backed Under59c49.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.311560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over45c49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.953,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Under59c47.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.139736.3%144 W · 253 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Over47c42.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8353043.8%232 W · 298 L-25.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.