NBA · resolved market
Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x958862b28ba521fd0fbef3cb77093b90093af6e6cdd2a185c4c41e544df54748
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f42…623ebacked Under | 56c | 3,223$1,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…c072backed Under | 56c | 3,026$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 51cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 39c | 1,767$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.39 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00af…da7ebacked Under | 56c | 1,398$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…6045backed Under | 56c | 1,352$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…5039backed Under | 56c | 1,274$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd1…a538backed Over | 44c | 1,260$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd8…aed5backed Under | 56c | 1,245$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ba…520ebacked Over | 44c | 1,215$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…45b5backed Over | 44c | 1,087$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…5e6cbacked Over | 44c | 1,067$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…1fdfbacked Over | 44c | 1,058$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c0…5036backed Over | 44c | 1,054$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…a4d0backed Over | 44c | 1,036$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…8ea8backed Over | 44c | 1,025$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 49c | 994.86$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.52 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc56d…3250backed Over | 44c | 967$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb360…9414backed Over | 44c | 905$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…96d4backed Over | 44c | 844$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 56c | 816$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 598.81$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.42 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 572.2$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.54 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 79c | 528$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.88 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 52c | 527.32$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.32 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c4…2852backed Under | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.55 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Under | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Over | 54c | 385$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.1 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 62c | 320.74$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Under | 20c | 274.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.87 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Under | 63c | 227.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…ff92backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 337 | 30.3%102 W · 235 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Under | 21c | 186.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 56c | 180$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 37c | 175.09$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.82 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 39c | 150.59$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…896dbacked Under | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 60c | 144.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.61 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…ee64backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Under | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Under | 63c | 80.21$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 207 | 62.3%129 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 44c | 78.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 1,029 | 47.7%491 W · 538 L | -13.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 63c | 69.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 61c | 62.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 57c | 60.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 38c | 57.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…e383backed Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 42c | 46.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117d…6542backed Under | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Under | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e14…bc35backed Under | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…2924backed Under | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Under | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 63c | 27.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed Under | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e1…5848backed Under | 61c | 24.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…5a30backed Under | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 59c | 21.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 183 | 39.3%72 W · 111 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 247.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bulls (-1.5)Bulls won
- Jazz vs. BullsBulls won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 240.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 242.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 244.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 245.5Over won
- Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5Over won
- Spread: Bulls (-2.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bulls (-3.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bulls (-4.5)Jazz won
- Spread: Bulls (-5.5)Jazz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.