TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 246.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,977
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,172

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,977 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under55c17,337$9,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,579.081,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under52c5,952$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.422,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c5,448$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.122,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over42c3,700$1,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.513,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c3,272$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4448…4796backed Under54c3,242$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce3…946dbacked Under54c3,092$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,669.68425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under46c3,045$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.472,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over60c2,603$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.663,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c2,443$1,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3490…7fdcbacked Over46c1,220$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.8650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a1…2376backed Over46c1,138$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.52580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+61.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under60c1,111$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.232,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x486c…d48dbacked Over46c1,097$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-56.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa061…f95abacked Over46c1,078$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Under39c1,061$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7983039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6003…2ce9backed Over46c925$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3a1…9596backed Over46c876$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under62c731.96$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.972,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Under63c624$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.141,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3302142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over45c600$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33021858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under60c585$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under38c552$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.82,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over40c358.25$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.126336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under56c331.41$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.7963745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under31c247.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7559141.8%247 W · 344 L-26.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under50c218.21$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.111,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over46c217.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.593,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Under20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409515.8%15 W · 80 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1222,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over38c199.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.761,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over45c173.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.172,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over45c160$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8834451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under61c147.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906352.4%33 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over40c121.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5288845.7%406 W · 482 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over46c105$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.723153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Under50c89.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.71,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Over45c85.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.61,02947.7%491 W · 538 L-13.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over45c84$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.271747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over45c80$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under50c70.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.539756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed Over49c70.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.785230.8%16 W · 36 L-11.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-42.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over45c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.334053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over45c66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.334254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Under50c65.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.618936%32 W · 57 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over51c63.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.491,78653.2%950 W · 836 L+52.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3373445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3333147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked Over45c60$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336453.1%34 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.531250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.531551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Over57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0743246.1%199 W · 233 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under56c46.73$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9452246.6%243 W · 279 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over45c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.236651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Over62c43.48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5931144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2228852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2247948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over45c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.920456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Under28c37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.221,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.845251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.815051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Over44c34.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.088556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.723753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.727350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.722048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.732649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.723850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.727251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over45c34$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.731852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad48…4797backed Under61c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over45c32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.627150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.525250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.527353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5165…175bbacked Over44c28.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9910255.9%57 W · 45 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Over59c26.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6118339.3%72 W · 111 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7081…2d9cbacked Over67c25.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5310857.4%62 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158235.4%29 W · 53 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.224552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.214648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.215352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.215854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.215953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.226648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over45c24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.225150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4865…904dbacked Under61c21.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0124363.8%155 W · 88 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under62c21.12$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.992,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ba…a503backed Under62c16.26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0816942.6%72 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.