Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52a7606da0832fd1d4f65c24771d531fbfa509379796d6f08ad8dede8f57bee2

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $471,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $282,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $471,935 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	12c	66,202$8,184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,184.21	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes	3c	17,672$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.5	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-86.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes	3c	16,058$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440.3	96	13.5%13 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x24b6…e069backed Yes	4c	13,700$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.85	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc349…82d7backed Yes	2c	12,268$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	5c	11,920$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.97	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+5.0wins	+0.22per pick	30cpaid	+23%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa5cc…feb0backed Yes	8c	11,461$874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$874.46	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0720…cc21backed Yes	6c	10,201$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$589.13	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	8,978$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.39	169	1.8%3 W · 166 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No	66c	8,545$5,665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,880.26	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+8.3wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc8b9…b836backed Yes	37c	8,384$3,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,127.02	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	+3.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x759e…78fbbacked Yes	4c	7,946$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.95	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes	2c	6,794$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.84	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed Yes	3c	6,363$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.05	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	2c	6,192$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.42	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1361…8de1backed Yes	10c	6,169$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.99	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes	6c	6,091$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.85	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	3c	6,062$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.79	173	30.1%52 W · 121 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes	2c	6,000$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.6	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+105.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fdc…1830backed Yes	32c	5,700$1,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	2c	5,650$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.4	89	2.2%2 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-80.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677d…5a0dbacked Yes	3c	5,586$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.57	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes	2c	5,035$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.27	227	25.1%57 W · 170 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes	3c	4,901$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.41	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x060d…b19dbacked Yes	3c	3,254$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes	33c	3,006$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.28	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6071…e933backed Yes	2c	2,836$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.04	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c18…3839backed Yes	3c	2,698$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes	2c	2,211$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	2c	2,180$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.36	45	11.1%5 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1ca…1705backed Yes	30c	2,152$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.98	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdc…dad0backed Yes	4c	2,029$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.03	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebbf…3b77backed Yes	7c	1,985$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.73	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-79.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd72…5a5bbacked Yes	3c	1,879$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.49	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8281…0ed5backed Yes	2c	1,767$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce6b…5265backed Yes	5c	1,751$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.85	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Yes	29c	1,719$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.49	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf425…ea3bbacked Yes	15c	1,707$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.71	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb274…ad62backed Yes	3c	1,702$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2f…7105backed Yes	4c	1,631$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+143.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	5c	1,626$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.72	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c6…45e4backed Yes	25c	1,575$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.84	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035d…5a61backed No	64c	1,556$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.43	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fef…5104backed Yes	39c	1,511$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.41	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b26…affdbacked Yes	2c	1,489$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Yes	2c	1,472$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.71	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes	20c	1,433$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.18	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	3c	1,424$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.66	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8fe…4474backed Yes	1c	1,400$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	-56%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10d…3154backed Yes	9c	1,400$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.96	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcca9…4c9fbacked Yes	30c	1,368$404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.73	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7304…1909backed Yes	4c	1,323$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.83	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked Yes	2c	1,317$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.87	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4449…a1f9backed Yes	8c	1,256$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes	2c	1,228$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.43	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6b…0605backed Yes	2c	1,208$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0778…73d1backed Yes	4c	1,200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.6	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e32…535bbacked Yes	3c	1,200$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	284	30.3%86 W · 198 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa120…c6cdbacked Yes	3c	1,144$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.55	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…7e33backed Yes	1c	1,103$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Yes	3c	1,099$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.89	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	3c	1,017$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.68	44	9.1%4 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	5cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d00…2eefbacked Yes	2c	1,009$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x407d…1baebacked No	70c	1,002$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.61	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0b6…3a92backed Yes	4c	1,000$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.51	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f19…879abacked Yes	4c	979.8$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.22	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc631…d2b4backed Yes	13c	937.7$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.64	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	20cpaid	-85.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18e0…d024backed Yes	4c	932.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.44	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6291…cc47backed Yes	6c	899.98$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	284	34.2%97 W · 187 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb3e…fcbdbacked Yes	2c	882.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	79c	841.61$666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.11	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	68c	834.95$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$267.49	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3714…9ce3backed Yes	3c	799.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ae…0eb4backed Yes	2c	794.32$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2130…b7e0backed Yes	19c	770.6$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.33	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+47.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2782…a28abacked Yes	2c	734.68$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.91	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…65abbacked Yes	2c	724.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.67	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5c…348bbacked Yes	5c	707.08$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2e…c38dbacked Yes	3c	672.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-51.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a28…d58bbacked Yes	33c	644.91$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.09	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-3.1wins	-0.22per pick	44cpaid	-65%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f2…4424backed Yes	3c	643.29$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	77c	639.28$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.23	146	56.2%82 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af6…eec2backed Yes	3c	635.72$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	6cpaid	+100%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes	3c	612.81$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	110	17.3%19 W · 91 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	71c	595.91$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.09	234	59.8%140 W · 94 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8472…4856backed Yes	29c	571.43$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.09	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	25c	563.02$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.07	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe82a…cf55backed Yes	3c	556.38$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes	3c	514.98$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.83	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	29c	511$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.09	69	27.5%19 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c1d…7aa6backed Yes	3c	509.98$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4405…ce3dbacked Yes	2c	504.75$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	24c	500$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	102	43.1%44 W · 58 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32e0…ea15backed Yes	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf605…9e39backed Yes	4c	493.44$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3acc…06a3backed Yes	2c	468.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5287…02f8backed Yes	6c	455.77$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x010c…a158backed Yes	8c	445.12$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	36c	442.75$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.96	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event