TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$331,093
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,052

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,093 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes0c29,000$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.229613.5%13 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes1c25,729$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.921118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c12,044$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.561691.8%3 W · 166 L+0.8wins0.00per pick1cpaid-52.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf50…7528backed Yes12c12,024$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe709…ee07backed Yes3c7,964$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+117.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc349…82d7backed Yes1c6,628$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c6…45e4backed Yes14c6,245$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.4530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbe9…b447backed Yes0c5,932$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4140%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…b92fbacked Yes23c5,712$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3714…9ce3backed Yes0c5,600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-69.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes1c5,343$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.111915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-65.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes2c5,100$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.24440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8fe…4474backed Yes1c4,805$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.371118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid-56%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbf…3b77backed Yes1c4,730$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.16812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-79.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9c0…62b2backed Yes1c4,601$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.95520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-69.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa74f…10babacked Yes2c3,816$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.09425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-58.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124b…8a69backed Yes3c3,813$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.79837.5%3 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick12cpaid+245.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked Yes8c3,790$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.61150%0 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x862d…34a3backed Yes3c3,787$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes3c3,299$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.815512.7%7 W · 48 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-44.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes0c3,225$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87892.2%2 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-80.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c34…1e3fbacked Yes1c3,222$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b6…e069backed Yes1c2,848$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4380%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed Yes4c2,814$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151225%3 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick14cpaid-9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9441…641bbacked Yes8c2,611$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3360%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1361…8de1backed Yes10c2,598$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-48.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes1c2,326$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.784511.1%5 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick8cpaid-20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebb2…f280backed Yes6c2,316$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.12812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5287…02f8backed Yes2c2,141$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xefb3…2cb0backed Yes2c2,094$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x946a…a9e5backed Yes2c2,092$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6150%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a5…b9d3backed Yes3c2,089$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…8218backed Yes5c2,033$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x002d…2561backed Yes9c2,004$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.384231%13 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x407d…1baebacked Yes2c2,000$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-71.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60f9…1353backed Yes3c1,774$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…a1f9backed Yes5c1,718$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd489…da46backed Yes1c1,639$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0340%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2781…272dbacked Yes3c1,626$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…ea15backed Yes3c1,618$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5714.3%1 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-78.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8dd…494cbacked Yes3c1,570$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4650%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecff…4b31backed Yes4c1,565$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-67.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20e…df4dbacked Yes4c1,523$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f3…975cbacked Yes1c1,509$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.781030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid-48.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…af29backed Yes8c1,470$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.6550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58ef…95fabacked Yes3c1,437$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5050%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4439…b76ebacked Yes1c1,380$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78e5…9161backed Yes9c1,376$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.0860%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c15…872fbacked Yes2c1,318$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes5c1,150$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.33714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-51.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes2c1,145$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.672729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes3c1,143$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.142330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x298d…2ff0backed Yes6c1,141$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9545…6f53backed Yes3c1,132$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Yes4c1,068$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5250%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc7…2385backed Yes10c1,033$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.621921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…653cbacked Yes3c1,027$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc9e7…05cabacked Yes3c1,023$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6270%0 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a0…b275backed Yes2c1,021$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes8c1,020$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2717330.1%52 W · 121 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e14…4994backed Yes4c1,000$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa596…15e9backed Yes1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1160%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af6…eec2backed Yes4c988.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick6cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x552b…d7f3backed Yes9c970.51$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c8…76b6backed Yes2c923.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x759e…78fbbacked Yes2c879.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5750%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf605…9e39backed Yes4c870.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3550%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fdc…1830backed Yes18c868.24$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-47.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce6b…5265backed Yes2c835.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acd…ae09backed Yes3c799.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21100%0 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f53…d59dbacked Yes2c782.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098f…f410backed Yes3c781.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-51.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc43c…1121backed Yes3c736.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2df5…51acbacked Yes5c692.83$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.469050%45 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5af6…6fb8backed Yes8c662.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000f…967dbacked Yes6c630.77$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-52.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9da5…1b1ebacked Yes4c599.62$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2230%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes2c598.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4234.3%1 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes24c565.4$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.29825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237e…8ed8backed Yes2c541.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e8…69e7backed Yes3c524.96$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-68.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b1…b80abacked Yes3c497.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f74…475dbacked Yes4c484.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0131…3bb6backed Yes4c475.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d00…2eefbacked Yes3c450.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a08…cce8backed Yes13c436$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd16a…b63dbacked Yes3c420.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8454934.6%190 W · 359 L-37.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked Yes7c399.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822725.1%57 W · 170 L+0.6wins0.00per pick25cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246e…490bbacked Yes3c397.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d0…6f6bbacked Yes3c397.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3596…5e26backed Yes3c389.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c4…4e75backed Yes3c378.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bc7…270fbacked Yes4c357.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4964…0c03backed Yes3c349.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x697d…f299backed Yes6c339.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick20cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdacc…396ebacked Yes3c321.54$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1723…0acfbacked Yes3c311.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.250%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x391b…3179backed Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-70.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3acc…06a3backed Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.