Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeccb47eea2ab003153f542d5dcf234a3c9a814f5e266646390a8f7dd1428c0aa

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $259,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $264,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,275 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0380…073dbacked No	17c	39,990$6,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,876.02	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No	9c	30,079$2,578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,578.19	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	27c	17,001$4,607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,606.54	528	50.8%268 W · 260 L	+20.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x614d…1546backed Yes	79c	12,823$10,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,705.3	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Yes	36c	7,719$2,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,973.72	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+8.3wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	25c	5,540$1,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,392.44	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47ae…ee94backed No	13c	5,323$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.93	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe068…c5eabacked No	6c	5,050$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	15c	4,343$655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.74	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	77c	4,332$3,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,013.51	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	67c	4,106$2,763 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,763.37	118	53.4%63 W · 55 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x378a…a638backed No	19c	3,775$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.34	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c65…b9eebacked No	8c	3,733$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.97	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-86.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	19c	3,063$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$577.38	311	52.4%163 W · 148 L	-12.4wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed No	14c	2,943$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.82	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes	74c	2,701$2,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$696.81	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	34c	2,160$741 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$741.3	263	55.9%147 W · 116 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x035d…5a61backed Yes	48c	2,099$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.47	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.25per pick	55cpaid	+29%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	29c	2,019$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.88	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No	5c	2,009$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.21	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	28c	1,819$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.82	187	62.6%117 W · 70 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	30c	1,813$536 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$536.21	399	52.4%209 W · 190 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cc…feb0backed Yes	68c	1,752$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.03	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	20c	1,543$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.25	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes	32c	1,512$483 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,028.67	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b6…e069backed No	21c	1,500$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.53	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fdc…1830backed Yes	58c	1,308$756 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.73	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe995…8218backed No	16c	1,284$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99b…1211backed No	40c	1,224$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.39	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8ebf…83cebacked No	13c	1,097$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.67	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-49.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	2c	1,020$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	92	54.3%50 W · 42 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	10c	1,007$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.96	155	58.7%91 W · 64 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes	27c	1,000$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.4	315	34%107 W · 208 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Yes	79c	985.95$783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.61	117	41%48 W · 69 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	15c	968$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.6	200	65%130 W · 70 L	+12.7wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7304…1909backed No	7c	962.75$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes	38c	951.44$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.83	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No	7c	950$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	71c	947.56$669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$278.09	246	37.4%92 W · 154 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101e…eaf4backed No	8c	927.46$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.45	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	22cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0720…cc21backed No	22c	873.22$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.11	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	58c	834.96$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.51	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x713f…22ccbacked No	13c	829.29$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.81	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	26cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed No	5c	800$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked No	12c	800$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed No	5c	750$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	42c	629.28$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.73	146	56.2%82 W · 64 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…65abbacked No	5c	600$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.4	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-81.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No	49c	591$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.78	234	59.8%140 W · 94 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8476…5418backed No	11c	517.95$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.97	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecf5…b7afbacked No	20c	507.3$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.46	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ea…5526backed Yes	79c	504.32$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.32	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes	78c	504.02$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.92	28	71.4%20 W · 8 L	+5.0wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed24…3b45backed No	11c	501.04$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.11	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked No	49c	500$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.5	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed No	6c	500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.75	81	42%34 W · 47 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4905…3291backed No	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No	34c	476.62$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.52	153	55.6%85 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed Yes	70c	455.2$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.71	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+6.3wins	+0.15per pick	41cpaid	+52%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b40…e937backed Yes	71c	449.7$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.81	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db8…ed19backed Yes	63c	414.85$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.69	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	6c	410$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.6	444	0.7%3 W · 441 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-87.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	9c	399.83$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.56	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b9…e006backed Yes	25c	393.69$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.69	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	21c	386.46$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.44	132	43.9%58 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcd…82e4backed No	6c	375$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	12cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No	23c	372.25$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	48	39.6%19 W · 29 L	-4.1wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed No	5c	364.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.81	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda55…376dbacked No	4c	353.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No	46c	310.26$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.08	81	29.6%24 W · 57 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No	41c	296.64$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.62	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	10c	285.66$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.13	316	35.1%111 W · 205 L	-11.1wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked No	23c	272.01$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.98	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3be0…9836backed No	38c	249.99$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	41cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6aa6…99c7backed No	17c	248.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x730d…d448backed Yes	79c	237.3$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.83	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	61cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf10d…3154backed Yes	22c	226.48$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.91	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.19per pick	14cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…3fe8backed Yes	35c	225.98$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.01	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1312…e932backed No	23c	225.61$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.31	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde88…144cbacked Yes	23c	220.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.79	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x927f…e7e7backed Yes	27c	218.9$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.8	69	27.5%19 W · 50 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes	19c	211.87$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.38	47	27.7%13 W · 34 L	-6.0wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	21c	202$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.42	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdcd…0fe6backed No	67c	200$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+55.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3e…ea35backed No	67c	200$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+99.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b65…013ebacked Yes	37c	199.98$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.99	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a08…cce8backed Yes	12c	191.91$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.46	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	10cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	8c	185.89$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.96	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8dd…494cbacked No	17c	176.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ecc…1d30backed Yes	38c	166.98$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.53	70	44.3%31 W · 39 L	-4.4wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	15c	164.91$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.81	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74f…10babacked Yes	60c	163.87$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.1	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55dc…19a3backed No	6c	163.84$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19ea…8cfabacked No	13c	151$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	35c	151$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.85	102	43.1%44 W · 58 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6523…89d8backed No	18c	150$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0b…b8b2backed No	58c	150$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	28c	147.62$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.25	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca50…6e55backed No	15c	147.2$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f74…475dbacked Yes	25c	143.15$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event