World Politics · resolved market
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd950c9590fd84b48667a4400a2cd53a55d32bb8385bd6af7e44b1f1ff9cf7220
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58ef…95fabacked Yes | 1c | 40,222$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 1c | 26,477$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.74 | 96 | 13.5%13 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 14,934$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.41 | 169 | 1.8%3 W · 166 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…82e4backed Yes | 4c | 14,722$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.77 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…8de1backed Yes | 4c | 13,398$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,120$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…eec2backed Yes | 2c | 10,574$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4474backed Yes | 1c | 10,406$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -56%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…b19dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,861$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 9c | 8,959$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.55 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 26c | 8,385$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.43 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +8.3wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 12c | 8,182$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.16 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe9…b447backed Yes | 2c | 6,553$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 6,100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 89 | 2.2%2 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed No | 71c | 6,000$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b6…e069backed Yes | 13c | 5,761$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.24 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…cc21backed Yes | 11c | 5,405$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.22 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…a1f9backed Yes | 3c | 4,558$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 8c | 4,469$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.23 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4905…3291backed Yes | 1c | 4,143$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…6cadbacked Yes | 9c | 3,450$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…5798backed Yes | 1c | 3,412$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6935…2949backed Yes | 1c | 3,267$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…ea3bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,239$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 3c | 3,029$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74f…10babacked Yes | 4c | 3,004$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1baebacked Yes | 6c | 3,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,925$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 2c | 2,845$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,679$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09c…0b38backed Yes | 1c | 2,548$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd489…da46backed Yes | 13c | 2,547$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000f…967dbacked Yes | 14c | 2,547$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb2…f280backed Yes | 10c | 2,498$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.72 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 8c | 2,496$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf50…7528backed Yes | 8c | 2,357$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298d…2ff0backed Yes | 6c | 2,346$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 80c | 2,320$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.26 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9441…641bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,316$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…d2b4backed Yes | 12c | 2,316$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3714…9ce3backed Yes | 3c | 2,200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…3b77backed Yes | 5c | 2,198$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.78 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cfa…1806backed Yes | 1c | 2,065$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ae…0eb4backed Yes | 1c | 2,012$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe237…fb07backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,971$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862d…34a3backed Yes | 6c | 1,796$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…ed51backed Yes | 5c | 1,789$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…de11backed Yes | 2c | 1,691$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c0…62b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,670$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…cbdcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,597$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf605…9e39backed Yes | 3c | 1,595$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f74…475dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,538$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc166…fbc7backed Yes | 2c | 1,532$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,513$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fff…647fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,490$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 1,480$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…8218backed Yes | 8c | 1,457$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…6f53backed Yes | 9c | 1,443$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,431$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.63 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed Yes | 10c | 1,356$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9053…7863backed Yes | 11c | 1,336$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c33…85aebacked Yes | 11c | 1,329$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b80abacked Yes | 2c | 1,229$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 11c | 1,210$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…a9e5backed Yes | 9c | 1,201$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…11d2backed Yes | 8c | 1,179$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacc…396ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,139$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefb3…2cb0backed Yes | 2c | 1,109$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdc…1830backed Yes | 22c | 1,105$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…e8d4backed Yes | 11c | 1,098$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…5f60backed Yes | 10c | 1,082$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671e…2536backed Yes | 11c | 1,042$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc8…7674backed Yes | 13c | 1,034$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2782…a28abacked Yes | 2c | 1,029$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed Yes | 9c | 1,018$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7440…ae87backed Yes | 11c | 1,017$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd72…5a5bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,015$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1d…7aa6backed Yes | 1c | 1,010$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…15e9backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…0feebacked Yes | 1c | 989.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…da6bbacked Yes | 11c | 930.51$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…3fe8backed Yes | 10c | 928.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…5104backed Yes | 9c | 899.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…c20fbacked Yes | 10c | 872.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…62b3backed Yes | 14c | 857.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…802fbacked Yes | 1c | 842.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2781…272dbacked Yes | 10c | 842.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 5c | 837.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 100 | 38%38 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 829.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…872fbacked Yes | 7c | 810.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…7105backed Yes | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…02f8backed Yes | 5c | 767.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 1c | 766.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 8c | 745.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…ea15backed Yes | 9c | 729.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6242…e4f5backed Yes | 2c | 717.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7e…8b0bbacked Yes | 10c | 700.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…9534backed Yes | 3c | 695$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8281…0ed5backed Yes | 7c | 694.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?this page
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?No won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?No won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?No won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?No won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?No won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?No won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?No won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?No won
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.6–0.7%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.9–1.0%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?No won
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?No won
- Will another candidate win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.