Commodities · resolved market

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82938684ba690736d6370e1a71620908cce5e4161f57a65a5e5bbd2d3ebb66ae

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $42,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,220 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Commodities
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xc8ab…6418backed No	66c	8,887$5,872 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,015.31	938	40.2%377 W · 561 L	-69.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ffd…a637backed Yes	17c	3,867$670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.57	345	34.5%119 W · 226 L	+11.9wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes	42c	3,663$1,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,552.96	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed No	37c	2,882$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,811.08	68	48.5%33 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e68…6898backed Yes	9c	1,200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa540…0b43backed Yes	32c	935.93$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.05	1,277	24.3%310 W · 967 L	-58.2wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	21c	875.09$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.55	308	39.6%122 W · 186 L	-17.4wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d48…ab03backed Yes	3c	650$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72cb…5962backed Yes	56c	619$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.87	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+7.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf40f…c3bcbacked Yes	47c	476.33$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.84	117	36.8%43 W · 74 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdac5…ae24backed Yes	7c	410.95$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.51	198	55.6%110 W · 88 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed No	55c	392.74$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.73	256	61.3%157 W · 99 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	71c	317$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.07	111	33.3%37 W · 74 L	-8.5wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	51c	310$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.8	154	46.8%72 W · 82 L	+17.9wins	+0.12per pick	35cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5b7d…cb08backed No	54c	300$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	124	6.5%8 W · 116 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes	33c	251.77$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.09	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed No	55c	240$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-11.1wins	-0.15per pick	47cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	5c	220.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.53	390	34.4%134 W · 256 L	-33.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x743c…f28dbacked Yes	56c	209.59$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.24	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes	51c	200$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef62…0179backed Yes	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.4	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x738f…ba83backed Yes	9c	200$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d5a…c2f0backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f3…844ebacked Yes	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	307	38.8%119 W · 188 L	+20.1wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x226c…e6e1backed Yes	17c	199.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f2…b7cebacked Yes	52c	192.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ea0…4776backed Yes	57c	186.34$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No	76c	180.21$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.83	123	48.8%60 W · 63 L	+8.5wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes	37c	172$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.11	1,048	34.5%362 W · 686 L	-94.9wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb28…b1a2backed No	61c	168.92$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.79	91	51.6%47 W · 44 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dba…d397backed Yes	8c	167$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.36	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	19cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ce2…eee8backed Yes	64c	161.34$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	16c	150$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.7	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No	55c	150$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x576d…adddbacked No	54c	144.07$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.07	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc53b…f73fbacked Yes	78c	136.73$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.18	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.8wins	-0.78per pick	78cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6364…8316backed Yes	21c	126.75$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.18	61	50.8%31 W · 30 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	9c	126.29$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.03	293	4.1%12 W · 281 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed No	27c	120$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.6	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d06…fe1dbacked Yes	47c	105.77$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed Yes	52c	101$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.02	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+2.6wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+65.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd482…355dbacked Yes	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.5	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b69…42cfbacked Yes	41c	100$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf56…ee5fbacked Yes	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.5	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0e…b333backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2f57…1da5backed Yes	56c	90$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+62.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbd1…1da0backed Yes	53c	80.91$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.69	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.5wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes	67c	80$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.6	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No	32c	76$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.63	1,030	9.2%95 W · 935 L	-25.0wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f95…458ebacked No	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-38%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d3e…47e8backed No	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4eaa…44eebacked Yes	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0067…3cfabacked Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xedd0…dacbbacked No	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4d…4829backed No	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de3…8df2backed Yes	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.2wins	-0.27per pick	52cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8328…fe31backed No	54c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf5…e344backed No	46c	50$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5c6…1f92backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	42cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae3d…d42dbacked Yes	44c	50$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.6wins	-0.28per pick	43cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7570…ffc0backed Yes	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a0c…74f9backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86eb…5864backed Yes	56c	50$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-3.5wins	-0.27per pick	58cpaid	-46.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x61c3…40acbacked Yes	65c	50$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x778c…a4b4backed No	60c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.19per pick	54cpaid	+30.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48bb…1d9ebacked Yes	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.6wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4982…bfc6backed No	56c	50$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6b…e0c0backed Yes	33c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.17per pick	43cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed No	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabf…afd2backed No	59c	50$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	43cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4f…7789backed Yes	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-62.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeac1…896ebacked Yes	52c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15b7…007ebacked No	44c	31.51$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.65	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+184.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3be0…9836backed Yes	53c	30.91$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.38	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.8wins	+0.13per pick	45cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d40…0b22backed Yes	54c	30.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…94f5backed Yes	54c	30.91$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a2…c2c2backed No	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4d0…b168backed No	49c	29.61$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.1	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc151…164cbacked Yes	53c	26.9$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Yes	57c	19.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.19	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?this page
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $82 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $86 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $88 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $92 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?No won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $74 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $76 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $78 in May?Yes won
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $80 in May?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event