Premier League · resolved market
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc1f76b64adfdf733f43586625831667eeed1936cee1dfe812d9835d880d0792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 26c | 7,548$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed No | 3c | 4,241$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed No | 4c | 3,800$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.79 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 4c | 2,657$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.21 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…4c9abacked No | 1c | 2,600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed No | 5c | 2,090$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…b153backed No | 3c | 2,034$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…6bffbacked Yes | 71c | 1,974$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa875…ca8dbacked Yes | 73c | 1,950$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 1,792$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f81…5394backed No | 29c | 1,739$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…9b4dbacked No | 1c | 1,626$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 6c | 1,575$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb15b…5215backed Yes | 79c | 1,535$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…aba5backed No | 18c | 1,389$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed No | 18c | 1,353$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.38 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 12c | 1,251$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 1,236$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 6c | 1,219$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.04 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 8c | 1,173$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 7c | 1,091$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Yes | 75c | 1,014$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 1c | 1,013$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked No | 23c | 999.96$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 980.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…ed95backed Yes | 78c | 897.44$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 15c | 830$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 16c | 777.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…897cbacked No | 9c | 770.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked No | 21c | 757.93$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…a5abbacked Yes | 77c | 737.93$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 75c | 699.98$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…95ddbacked Yes | 74c | 659.46$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked No | 2c | 658.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939c…4e53backed No | 3c | 641.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 12c | 617.71$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…638dbacked No | 4c | 599.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 5c | 599.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c51…35ddbacked No | 12c | 550.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…5e15backed Yes | 76c | 520$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7363…acbdbacked No | 4c | 514.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 3c | 507.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed No | 28c | 504.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 78c | 501.04$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 20c | 499.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 10c | 493.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 4c | 472.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 2c | 471.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78df…8b79backed Yes | 71c | 436.03$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 76c | 429.99$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…b788backed Yes | 70c | 418$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d3…4cb9backed Yes | 74c | 406.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…5e86backed Yes | 74c | 404.78$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9eb0backed Yes | 75c | 400.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 3c | 398.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80dc…7cf8backed Yes | 72c | 360.72$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed No | 8c | 357.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 4c | 353.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed No | 14c | 350$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf1…278abacked No | 7c | 336.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5da7…ad2fbacked Yes | 76c | 328.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 15c | 324.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 13c | 301.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 30c | 301.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 25c | 300.65$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 28c | 300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…7df0backed No | 15c | 294.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 72c | 293.57$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…d2c4backed No | 9c | 291.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f8…d71ebacked No | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 17c | 278.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 7c | 273.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 18c | 272.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 7c | 270$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 78c | 256.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.07 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d7…5253backed No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b0…4d1ebacked No | 23c | 240$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…2fd2backed No | 15c | 220$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…0c1abacked Yes | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1834…051ebacked No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1cf…9656backed No | 17c | 199.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 7c | 184.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4d…5ec7backed No | 19c | 158.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ead…9ad7backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…00ebbacked No | 10c | 140.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df5…e945backed Yes | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked No | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7b…48e2backed Yes | 75c | 130.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…3008backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 71c | 125.92$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…e447backed Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a53…cc07backed Yes | 77c | 115.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?this page
- Will Andoni Iraola be the next Chelsea manager?No won
- Will Cesc Fabregas be the next Chelsea manager?No won
- Will Francesco Farioli be the next Chelsea manager?No won
- Will Oliver Glasner be the next Chelsea manager?No won
- Will Xavi Hernandez be the next Chelsea manager?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.