TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdddc…9eb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 54 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST2458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+49.3%+$227.36
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$156.98
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
Heat vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.7
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$50.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$127.5
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+29.9%+$20.02
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+47.4%+$30.36
Bucks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$849Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$848.8
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$96.9
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+33.3%+$37.5
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Clippers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+25%+$26
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+117.4%+$118.8
Nuggets vs. Hornetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$61.94
Lakers vs. Celticsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$62.4
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+29.9%+$47.59
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$352
Bucks vs. Wizardsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$389.43
Bucks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+28.2%+$26.71
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+203%+$147.57
All 24 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST1915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$154
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+1,150%+$2,309.19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$199.75
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$131.51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$173.02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.98
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$322.06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+127.8%+$431.19
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$104.42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40.28
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$106.4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+303.3%+$692.71
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$73.59
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$189.45
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$114.89
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$131.5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$24.37
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$7.25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.33
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+156.4%+$315.14
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$298.98
Will Liam Rosenior be the next Chelsea manager?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+33.6%+$100.81
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$57.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$102
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$57.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$102.4
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+204.5%+$213.17
Spread: Manchester United (-1.5)backed West Ham · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+81.8%+$94.59
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$24.98
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$18.78
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$63.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$90.88
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+53.8%+$80.5
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2025-12-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+61.3%+$125.4
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$85
Spread: Real Madrid (-1.5)backed Girona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+51.5%+$83.77
Will Real Sociedad vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$156
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+25%+$9.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$26.01
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$49.36
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+49.3%+$15.76
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$638Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$637.68
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.43
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$106.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick74cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-18.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$38
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$59.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+104.1%+$125.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on December 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+38.9%+$39.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Packers vs. Giantsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$8.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Kansasbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+31.6%+$69.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+29.9%+$7.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25%+$64.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.