South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d2437f401eb77d7cfbf564b865a3c4a768f6ca709f4dfb25f6ef7a02254574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 5,543$3,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.05 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 37c | 2,055$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.72 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe15…b171backed Yes | 43c | 1,757$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 36c | 1,711$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.59 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 40c | 1,609$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.83 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24e…080dbacked No | 60c | 1,582$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.99 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 1,026$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.77 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 744.34$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.72 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 734.35$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.26 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 36c | 668.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.77 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 619.26$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.67 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc69…2793backed Yes | 15c | 615$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2166…72fcbacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 31c | 326.28$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 17c | 266.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 43c | 233.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 44c | 229.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 32c | 162.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 45c | 156.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 31c | 155.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…86d0backed Yes | 42c | 139.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 54c | 138.25$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.59 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 39c | 128.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9eb0backed Yes | 42c | 119.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a47…1ec0backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 109.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Yes | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb948…ebffbacked Yes | 36c | 100.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 94.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 70c | 86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 67c | 84.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 67c | 80.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 73.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 59c | 72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 43c | 65.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55d…2c36backed Yes | 42c | 61.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 29c | 56.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 55.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 27c | 52.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…41adbacked Yes | 41c | 48.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 37c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 43c | 37.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…5c2ebacked No | 68c | 36.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 57c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…2719backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…99d3backed No | 59c | 34.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 48c | 30.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Yes | 43c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 73c | 21.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd81…de69backed No | 63c | 20.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 64c | 20.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cca…7cb3backed No | 58c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 59c | 17.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-20?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.