South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1558d4743734354f59b981e1623e196c5796bad4246261813e6e2c6a69445f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 3,353$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.13 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 25c | 2,600$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.97 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 1,052$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.62 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 995.67$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.42 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 67c | 643.31$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.02 | 526 | 49.8%262 W · 264 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 545.84$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.11 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…4aeebacked Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 49c | 358.34$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.44 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 13c | 322$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 40c | 252.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1,339 | 56.9%762 W · 577 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 33c | 212.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb648…c2ddbacked Yes | 49c | 204.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 68c | 147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 32c | 119.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.09 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed No | 56c | 105$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 103.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 99.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 2,648 | 54.2%1,436 W · 1,212 L | +27.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e7…e57fbacked Yes | 36c | 93.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 31c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 33c | 66.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.67 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 64c | 54.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 70c | 30.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 67c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,702 | 52%885 W · 817 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 35c | 28.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 69c | 24.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Yes | 60c | 21.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 114 | 61.4%70 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 78c | 20.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed6a…841ebacked Yes | 77c | 16.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Racing Club end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-20?No won
- Will Racing Club win on 2026-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.