NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6af14a17bfba27e208668080c448fe93f03ff48bec06adf2d81491e1cf0e0809

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Jazz
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,881,922
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $3,090,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,881,922 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Jazz	31c	318,510$100,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100,000	96	41.7%40 W · 56 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Celtics	72c	211,321$151,522 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,799.63	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Celtics	71c	200,000$142,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57,999.95	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Celtics	72c	137,000$99,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,689.96	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz	29c	125,318$36,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,106.37	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz	28c	100,000$28,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28,000	483	43.7%211 W · 272 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Celtics	74c	74,819$55,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,818.72	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x654d…8e3ebacked Jazz	29c	70,000$20,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,200	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Jazz	28c	69,167$19,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,170.16	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Jazz	28c	65,000$18,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,200	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Jazz	29c	64,982$18,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,544.76	142	44.4%63 W · 79 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Jazz	28c	61,382$17,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,071.99	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Celtics	70c	60,000$42,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,000	246	50%123 W · 123 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Celtics	72c	50,000$35,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,099.98	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Celtics	69c	44,623$30,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,736.16	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz	11c	40,351$4,366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,365.53	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2e4…bc51backed Jazz	38c	40,236$15,161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,161	219	44.7%98 W · 121 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Celtics	72c	40,000$28,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,400	190	48.4%92 W · 98 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz	27c	37,979$10,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,322.3	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Celtics	67c	37,500$25,275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,225	267	53.2%142 W · 125 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa996…8aacbacked Celtics	71c	35,250$25,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,150	142	43%61 W · 81 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed Jazz	28c	34,999$9,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,899.7	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8980…d4f4backed Celtics	72c	33,000$23,630 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,370	219	51.1%112 W · 107 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Celtics	72c	30,000$21,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,399.95	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+8.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Celtics	72c	29,744$21,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,193.99	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz	29c	27,531$7,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,918.65	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics	68c	26,905$18,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,578.57	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Jazz	28c	24,632$6,897 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,897	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz	25c	23,999$5,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,965.21	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Jazz	29c	21,877$6,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,378	508	38.2%194 W · 314 L	+22.3wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	29c	21,640$6,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,229.62	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	27c	21,602$5,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,928.46	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Jazz	28c	20,000$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	158	41.1%65 W · 93 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Jazz	28c	20,000$5,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,600	232	45.3%105 W · 127 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03a9…37babacked Jazz	28c	19,382$5,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,427.04	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Celtics	67c	17,353$11,577 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,776.43	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Celtics	70c	17,000$11,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,160	79	57%45 W · 34 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Celtics	71c	15,987$11,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,576.95	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jazz	29c	15,899$4,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,583.95	619	39.6%245 W · 374 L	-17.8wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics	70c	15,000$10,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,549.99	784	45.8%359 W · 425 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Celtics	63c	14,961$9,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,589.83	623	47.7%297 W · 326 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Celtics	71c	14,389$10,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,172.81	477	51.8%247 W · 230 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Celtics	73c	13,900$10,147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,753	171	62.6%107 W · 64 L	+10.1wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Jazz	29c	12,254$3,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,500	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jazz	35c	11,905$4,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,116.82	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Celtics	71c	11,500$8,165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,334.99	618	51.6%319 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Celtics	71c	11,000$7,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,190	214	50%107 W · 107 L	-14.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Jazz	30c	11,000$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	178	61.2%109 W · 69 L	+11.4wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Jazz	29c	10,368$2,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,997.39	248	31.9%79 W · 169 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Jazz	28c	10,302$2,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,884.66	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Jazz	28c	10,256$2,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,874.24	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Celtics	72c	10,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc480…0caabacked Celtics	72c	10,000$7,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	132	49.2%65 W · 67 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6576…6cc5backed Jazz	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz	29c	9,115$2,621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,620.98	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jazz	28c	9,057$2,539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,538.67	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…266fbacked Jazz	29c	8,966$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	65	61.5%40 W · 25 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz	17c	8,776$1,484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,483.7	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc70e…6aefbacked Jazz	7c	8,400$587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$587	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb802…5bbebacked Celtics	73c	8,389$6,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,265.1	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	66cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec32…1634backed Celtics	71c	8,000$5,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,320	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Celtics	72c	8,000$5,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,239.98	112	44.6%50 W · 62 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35bd…1ecfbacked Jazz	27c	7,999$2,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,159.73	149	45.6%68 W · 81 L	-6.3wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde6d…0926backed Jazz	26c	7,920$2,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,022.28	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz	28c	7,694$2,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,154.34	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	26c	7,529$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,940.76	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Jazz	39c	7,500$2,925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,924.99	121	43%52 W · 69 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12fd…90c0backed Jazz	29c	6,980$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,024.2	284	39.8%113 W · 171 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics	70c	6,716$4,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,034.34	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Celtics	76c	6,554$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,553.69	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2487…fa80backed Jazz	27c	6,515$1,789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,789.05	180	45%81 W · 99 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3513…3579backed Jazz	28c	6,400$1,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,787.99	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Celtics	70c	6,000$4,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,800	54	55.6%30 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa312…c8a0backed Celtics	72c	6,000$4,320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,680	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.15per pick	57cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbdac…f7e2backed Jazz	41c	5,894$2,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,416.46	191	36.1%69 W · 122 L	-15.3wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Celtics	72c	5,653$4,070 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,582.84	163	70.6%115 W · 48 L	+7.0wins	+0.04per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics	71c	5,627$4,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.59	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	29c	5,514$1,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,582.23	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Celtics	70c	5,445$3,834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,610.78	724	50.7%367 W · 357 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Jazz	28c	5,364$1,488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,488.36	309	47.6%147 W · 162 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Jazz	30c	5,345$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	310	44.8%139 W · 171 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b9…9772backed Jazz	28c	5,336$1,476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,475.82	106	37.7%40 W · 66 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Jazz	29c	5,172$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	161	30.4%49 W · 112 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…e73fbacked Jazz	29c	5,172$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	125	31.2%39 W · 86 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics	72c	5,000$3,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,400	354	50.8%180 W · 174 L	+12.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Jazz	27c	4,801$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.24	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Celtics	71c	4,783$3,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,387.07	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked Celtics	76c	4,632$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,132.09	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92e1…2ec3backed Celtics	71c	4,500$3,195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,304.99	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Celtics	76c	4,398$3,341 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.34	247	52.6%130 W · 117 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Jazz	21c	4,341$928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$928.47	1,409	40.2%567 W · 842 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Celtics	69c	4,328$3,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,321.69	393	49.1%193 W · 200 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7203…22d6backed Jazz	28c	4,270$1,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.52	98	43.9%43 W · 55 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe659…57bbbacked Celtics	72c	4,247$3,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.08	95	52.6%50 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Jazz	29c	4,138$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaddc…ed0dbacked Celtics	73c	4,110$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,109.59	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.18per pick	57cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Jazz	28c	3,901$1,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.83	102	35.3%36 W · 66 L	-9.7wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Jazz	10c	3,900$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	259	25.9%67 W · 192 L	+6.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jazz	28c	3,899$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,099.58	342	27.2%93 W · 249 L	-8.4wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccea…a8ebbacked Jazz	27c	3,865$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,046	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Celtics vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event