NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b39ac1a93224ee4f28ba20b46561d7ee87c256dcf89bd2aa34ce8d46258c7be

Rebuilt 24 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Celticsof Celtics, Jazz
Resolved: Dec 31, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $843,062
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $872,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,062 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4924…3782backed Celtics	51c	487,867$247,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240,731.3	874	51.5%450 W · 424 L	+15.8wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Jazz	50c	188,421$93,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93,268.16	1,045	49%512 W · 533 L	+21.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Jazz	50c	101,002$50,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,778.93	1,046	51.1%534 W · 512 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Jazz	50c	50,000$24,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,800	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Jazz	51c	49,999$25,499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,499.09	224	53.1%119 W · 105 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz	49c	46,500$22,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,635	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	49c	45,096$22,280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,280.44	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Jazz	50c	37,776$18,699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,699.12	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	+9.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x060e…2384backed Celtics	48c	30,000$14,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,600	80	37.5%30 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Jazz	49c	21,483$10,527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,526.81	524	60.1%315 W · 209 L	+35.6wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Jazz	49c	21,342$10,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,531.74	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jazz	49c	20,010$9,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,904.85	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Jazz	48c	18,039$8,659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,658.89	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Celtics	49c	16,370$8,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,348.78	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5988…2185backed Celtics	49c	12,226$5,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,235.08	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d9…2668backed Celtics	49c	10,270$5,032 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,237.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Jazz	49c	10,035$4,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,914.24	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Jazz	49c	9,796$4,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,800	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Jazz	49c	7,745$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800.47	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Jazz	50c	6,918$3,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,458.93	112	42%47 W · 65 L	-10.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb5c…36f0backed Jazz	49c	6,816$3,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,340	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Jazz	50c	6,777$3,389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,388.65	475	42.3%201 W · 274 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	50c	4,709$2,334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,333.93	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd29c…d4efbacked Jazz	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+18%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa75d…1246backed Celtics	49c	4,200$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe971…350cbacked Celtics	49c	4,200$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8786…982dbacked Jazz	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+17%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa817…6313backed Jazz	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c35…5850backed Jazz	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-24%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37f1…d157backed Celtics	49c	4,200$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd49…4b3bbacked Celtics	49c	4,200$2,058 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,142	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+2.9wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Celtics	49c	4,150$2,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,116.5	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x088b…bce1backed Jazz	51c	4,150$2,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.5	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Jazz	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	334	47.9%160 W · 174 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Jazz	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Celtics	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,081.63	162	54.3%88 W · 74 L	+7.1wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Jazz	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	485	46.4%225 W · 260 L	-14.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7432…d7d5backed Celtics	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8367…90e9backed Jazz	49c	4,000$1,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	50cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Celtics	51c	3,930$2,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,925.7	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz	48c	3,494$1,677 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,677.24	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Jazz	50c	3,044$1,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,522	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0ae…41afbacked Celtics	49c	2,839$1,391 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,447.78	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Jazz	50c	2,700$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,348.2	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Jazz	49c	2,545$1,247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,247.16	203	52.2%106 W · 97 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz	49c	2,250$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Jazz	50c	2,218$1,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,098.58	488	45.3%221 W · 267 L	+18.9wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Celtics	50c	2,020$1,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010	57	50.9%29 W · 28 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Jazz	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	446	54.3%242 W · 204 L	+21.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Celtics	48c	2,000$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,040	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Jazz	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Jazz	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Jazz	50c	1,950$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.68	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Jazz	52c	1,839$956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.23	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Celtics	44c	1,640$728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.33	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Jazz	50c	1,600$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	74	37.8%28 W · 46 L	-9.6wins	-0.13per pick	51cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Jazz	61c	1,462$894 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$894.16	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz	51c	1,427$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$724.84	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz	53c	1,415$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Jazz	51c	1,412$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	462	58.2%269 W · 193 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics	50c	1,394$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics	52c	1,348$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.46	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Jazz	50c	1,010$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.2	221	38%84 W · 137 L	-11.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Jazz	49c	1,010$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.1	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Jazz	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd5…26ccbacked Jazz	49c	999.98$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.99	516	51%263 W · 253 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Jazz	50c	994.12$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc87b…51d4backed Jazz	51c	980.39$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	210	55.2%116 W · 94 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Jazz	53c	899.99$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Jazz	49c	848.49$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.76	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Jazz	52c	800$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416	489	57.5%281 W · 208 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xd059…2a48backed Celtics	52c	700.69$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.53	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.39per pick	61cpaid	+66.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Jazz	50c	618$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Jazz	49c	612.98$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.36	406	48%195 W · 211 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Jazz	59c	610.44$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.88	184	40.8%75 W · 109 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Celtics	51c	593.96$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.96	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4cfd…6d87backed Celtics	47c	574.95$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.72	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz	48c	573.75$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.89	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Jazz	52c	573.44$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz	52c	525$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Jazz	49c	510$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.9	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Jazz	47c	500$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	1,911	45.4%868 W · 1,043 L	+22.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da6…59fabacked Celtics	51c	486.27$248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$238.27	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Jazz	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Jazz	9c	400$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	56	8.9%5 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Jazz	52c	397$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.44	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Celtics	51c	392.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.16	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Jazz	52c	384.62$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	183	43.7%80 W · 103 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Celtics	47c	361.77$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.18	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Jazz	49c	355.31$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.61	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Jazz	53c	354.72$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	631	42%265 W · 366 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Celtics	51c	343.14$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.14	150	52.7%79 W · 71 L	+5.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz	43c	321.17$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.26	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d6…14d9backed Celtics	50c	320$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160	139	46.8%65 W · 74 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Jazz	50c	316$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked Celtics	51c	313.73$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.73	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Jazz	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	158	7%11 W · 147 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Jazz	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	43	7%3 W · 40 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Jazz	50c	280$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d84…aa68backed Celtics	50c	249.75$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.88	110	60%66 W · 44 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event