NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8859ed32491e906b2c4fe18f4dcb5336230936f162e31a2a58c9e3c4fe6482c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 52c | 30,314$15,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,519.49 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Under | 47c | 9,390$4,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.2 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 6,859$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 214 | 46.7%100 W · 114 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f1…bebdbacked Over | 51c | 5,880$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,881.2 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 54c | 5,874$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,702.26 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 49c | 5,677$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,781.72 | 203 | 52.2%106 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb482…e3ecbacked Under | 49c | 4,200$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Over | 51c | 4,200$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,058 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf95…3114backed Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2052backed Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…3ba8backed Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…cd76backed Over | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1869…30c8backed Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd234…90b0backed Under | 49c | 4,100$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 3,561$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.6 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 48c | 3,313$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.07 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 50c | 2,991$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.77 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 2,976$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.64 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 1,795$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x619e…f583backed Under | 45c | 1,760$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 41c | 1,629$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.12 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Under | 46c | 1,589$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730.87 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 45c | 1,500$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…3ab8backed Over | 56c | 1,432$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.96 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 47c | 1,395$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.16 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 47c | 1,365$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.7 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 1,236$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 51c | 1,137$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.13 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Over | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.99 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.41 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 1,012$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.59 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 48c | 861$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.28 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Under | 47c | 840$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.8 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 51c | 736$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.64 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 662.59$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 42c | 635.92$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 55c | 548.96$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.33 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed Over | 51c | 504.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.45 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Over | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 495.29$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1967backed Under | 49c | 450$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91f3…0d57backed Under | 49c | 426.53$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 48c | 419.31$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.27 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 53c | 396.5$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.35 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 51c | 392.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 48c | 365$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.2 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 47c | 324.61$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.48 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 48c | 273$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaf…643fbacked Over | 56c | 220.36$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Under | 42c | 210.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Under | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2e…116cbacked Over | 60c | 189.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…76dfbacked Over | 56c | 188.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7651…3c11backed Over | 60c | 181.17$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…b5a5backed Under | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 332 | 46.1%153 W · 179 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 40c | 153.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…2b35backed Over | 51c | 150$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 59c | 139.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…366bbacked Under | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…5948backed Under | 51c | 122.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7802…d5b4backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf232…4fc6backed Over | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 127 | 66.9%85 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 42c | 93.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c3…81e3backed Under | 51c | 83.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 28c | 82.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 51c | 81.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0f…36dfbacked Under | 47c | 81.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1d…ff79backed Over | 52c | 73.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ca…0a0dbacked Under | 48c | 68.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43b8…4c31backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa70d…f721backed Over | 57c | 64.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…5cb3backed Under | 45c | 63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 47c | 61.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…02d6backed Over | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Over | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…e70ebacked Over | 58c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Under | 28c | 56.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…9cfcbacked Under | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed Under | 45c | 52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Under | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Under | 48c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 45c | 41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 240.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-3.5)Jazz won
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-4.5)Jazz won
- Celtics vs. JazzCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 124.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 239.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 241.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Jazz: O/U 244.5Over won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.